Champions League
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Serbia Women
Greece Women
Prediction for
Win: Serbia Women
86%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 2
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 14:11Serbia Women are the clear favourites to win this CEV European Championship match against Greece Women. The model gives Serbia an 86% chance of a home victory, and the supporting evidence is straightforward: Serbia have won both recent meetings, they carry more momentum from their last five matches, and the expected points output—2.6 to 1.4—leaves little room for a Greek upset.
Recent form
Serbia's last five matches produced two wins and three losses, accumulating 6 points with 7 points scored and 12 conceded. Their most recent outing was a 3-1 victory over Croatia Women at home on 30 August 2026, followed by a 3-2 away win against Greece Women in the Mediterranean Games on the same day. They lost 1-3 to Turkey, then lost 0-3 to Ukraine and Italy.
Greece have managed just one win from their last five games, collecting 3 points while scoring 6 and conceding 12. Their sole victory came 3-0 away at France Women in the championship on 30 August 2026. The other results were losses: 2-3 at home to Serbia, 0-3 away to Italy, 1-3 away to Turkey, and 0-3 away to Serbia in the championship earlier that month. The goal difference was -6.
Head-to-head
The two sides have met twice in the past few weeks, and Serbia have won both encounters. On 26 August 2026 they defeated Greece 3-0 at home in the championship. Three days later, in the Mediterranean Games, Greece hosted Serbia but could only manage 2 points to Serbia's 3. The pattern is consistent: Greece struggle to contain Serbia's attack, and Serbia do not drop points against them.
The model expects no probability of a draw and no chance that both teams will score. It also assigns no likelihood to three or more points being scored in total, which seems inconsistent with the expected points of 2.6 to 1.4. What matters is the direction: Serbia are projected to score more, and Greece are not expected to find the net.
This conclusion stops holding if Serbia fail to start strongly. They have lost three of five, and two of those defeats were 0-3 shutouts. If Greece press high and force errors in the opening sets, the momentum could shift.