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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Dodgers
Reds
Prediction for
Win: Dodgers
66%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 3
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 03:19Dodgers to win. They are unbeaten at home in five straight and have won both meetings this week, while the Reds lost Carter Gordon and travel with a losing record away from Cincinnati.
The Dodgers have not tasted defeat in five home games, winning all five and scoring 27 runs while allowing 18. They beat the Nationals three times and the Reds twice in that stretch, closing out the series 3:2 and 6:3 on consecutive nights.
The Reds went 2 wins and 3 losses on the road in their last five outings, scored 29, gave up 30. Gordon’s broken leg strips Cincinnati of their starter.
Dodgers won both head-to-head meetings this week, 3:2 on September 9 and 6:3 on September 8. The visitors managed just five runs across those two games while the hosts scored nine.
The projection is 4.8 runs for the Dodgers and 3.9 for the Reds. A win for the visitors would require them to outperform their recent away record and overcome the absence of Gordon, something they have not done in this venue.
The edge is with the Dodgers. A loss for the hosts in this stretch would also shift the balance.