Bnei Herzliya vs Maccabi Rishon LeZion: match prediction on 17 September 2026

Bnei Herzliya to win. The model projects Bnei Herzliya to score 88 points and Maccabi Rishon LeZion 85.2, and the head-to-head record shows five victories in six meetings.

Bnei Herzliya have won two of their last five matches, losing three. Their most recent result was a 101:98 victory over Hapoel Eilat away in the Liga-Pokal on 9 September. Before that they lost 99:84 at Hapoel Holon.

Maccabi Rishon LeZion have taken three wins from five games.

Bnei Herzliya have won five of the last six meetings. The most recent was an 89:83 victory at home on 26 January 2026. Before that came a 95:90 win away on 6 November 2025, a 92:88 home victory in February 2022, and a 94:64 away triumph in December 2021. Maccabi Rishon LeZion have only one win from this period, a 106:88 result at home in May 2021.

Those figures suggest a narrow margin, but the hosts have consistently outperformed expectations in this pairing. Bnei Herzliya average 42.9 points per game over their last ten matches while conceding 51.2, which looks poor in isolation but has not prevented them from winning against this particular opponent.

A draw suits neither side in a cup match, but the model assigns 0% probability to a draw and 0% for both sides clearing their totals.

This prediction does not hold if Maccabi Rishon LeZion find their shooting rhythm early. They have shown they can win away from home, as demonstrated by their 82:74 victory over Hapoel Tel Aviv on 31 May. If they replicate that form against Bnei Herzliya, the head-to-head record becomes less relevant.

The hosts average 24.7 three-point attempts per game with 8.56 successful, compared to Maccabi Rishon LeZion's 21.6 attempts and 7.7 makes. That shooting advantage could prove decisive in a tight contest. Bnei Herzliya also record 21.1 assists per match against 20.2 for the visitors, suggesting slightly better ball movement.

Maccabi Rishon LeZion average 15.7 turnovers to Bnei Herzliya's 13.4. Both teams commit roughly 19 personal fouls per match, so the referee's approach to contact will matter more than the averages suggest.