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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
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Red Sox vs Angels: match prediction on 9 September 2026
Red Sox
Angels
Prediction for
Win: Red Sox
61%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
61%
1
39%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 00:00- Ред Сокс, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Энджелс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Ред Сокс — 1, Энджелс — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Red Sox
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
Angels
WLLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 2
1Red Sox
0Draw
1Angels
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 00:00Red Sox are the clear favourites on Wednesday night, and I see no reason to doubt that. They have won five straight, while the Angels have lost four of their last five. The model puts Red Sox expected goals at 4.3 against 3.7 for the visitors, and I am 70% confident in a home victory.
The Red Sox momentum
Five wins in a row is not a streak to ignore. They have scored 15 goals and conceded 9 across those five matches, and they took three straight victories against the Orioles before the Angels swung through town. The 5:0 win at Baltimore was the statement. They will carry that confidence into Fenway.
The Angels slump
One win from five is a difficult run. They beat the Pirates 6:1 on September 5, but have not won since — losing to the Pirates twice and falling to the Red Sox on the road. The 6:1 victory over Boston on September 8 was their only bright spot in a fortnight, but form is measured over more than one game.
Head-to-head swings
They played each other twice in the last week. Red Sox won 5:2 at home on September 7, then lost 1:6 away on September 8. The Angels showed they can punish the Red Sox when they leave space, but they also showed they can be outplayed. Two games, two different results — but the Red Sox have the longer run of wins.
What the model says
The expected goals figures are 4.3 for Red Sox and 3.7 for Angels. The model gives a 0% chance of a draw, 0% for both teams to score, and 0% for three or more goals. Those numbers point to a decisive home result. The Red Sox are the side the model trusts to control the game.
When the prediction fails
A draw suits the Angels — and given how they can swing games, that is the main threat. If they repeat the September 8 performance, where they scored six away at Fenway, the Red Sox favourite status evaporates. The model does not account for a single match going completely off-script.