Astros — Dorados: 87:80, LNBP

Astros beat Dorados 87:80 in the LNBAP on 20 September 2026. The hosts took the victory after a contest that had momentum shifting several times. To be fair, neither side controlled the game for long stretches. The result keeps them in the hunt for a top-four finish.

And here's the thing about this match — you could see the turning point coming if you knew where to look. Astros built a small cushion in the middle period, then Dorados clawed their way back. By then the hosts had switched off at a set piece, but they recovered fast enough. One mistake ends it, and that was the moment Dorados thought they'd taken control.

The statistics tell a particular story. Astros made nine successful three-pointers from twenty-four attempts, while Dorados hit eight from twenty-nine. The hosts had more assists with seventeen to the visitors' ten, but Dorados won the rebound battle with thirty to thirty-five. Turnovers went the other way, eighteen for Astros against thirteen for Dorados. They had nothing to do all evening in terms of conversion efficiency.

Recent form cuts both ways here. Astros had two losses in their previous five games, including a 95:83 defeat to Panteras on the 17th. Dorados were more consistent, winning four of their last five, including a tight 91:89 victory over El Calor de Cancun on the 16th. That run meant they arrived believing they could go away with something.

We had given Dorados the edge in our prediction, placing confidence at sixty-seven percent. The forecast didn't materialise. Astros simply held their ground when it mattered, and that is what separates teams at this level. The eight-point margin reflects a game decided by moments rather than dominance.