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Abra Weavers vs Quezon City: match prediction on 9 October 2026

MPBL Gov. Andres Bernos Memorial Gymnasium Bangued Pending Match page
Abra Weavers Quezon City

Prediction for

Win: Abra Weavers

69%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

69% 1
31% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 7 Oct, 12:05

Abra Weavers are the clear favourites tonight. The model puts them at 90.6 points to Quezon City's 69.8, a margin of 20.8 that sits comfortably within the range of their previous two meetings. Confidence is 78%.

The home side have lost just once in 16 league matches. That solitary defeat came against Cebu Greats on 31 August, a 74-70 home loss that stands as an anomaly in an otherwise dominant campaign. They have won four of their last five, including a 79-72 victory over Eastern Long Lions in the EASL on 3 October.

Quezon City sit in eighth place with nine wins and nine defeats from 18 games. They have also won four of their last five, most recently beating Pasig City 95-81 away on 30 September. The gap between first and eighth is not merely positional; it reflects a consistency that Abra Weavers have maintained since the season began.

The head-to-head record offers no comfort to the visitors. Both previous encounters were played at Quezon City's arena, and both ended in defeats: 79-51 in August 2026 and 99-77 in June 2025. The model's expectation of a two-goal margin aligns with those results.

A draw suits neither side, and the model assigns it zero probability. The visitors have never beaten Abra Weavers in two attempts, and the home side's recent scoring average of 80.6 points per game suggests they will not be held to a close contest.

The conclusion stops holding if Quezon City find a way to control the tempo. They have shown they can win tight games, as evidenced by their 89-88 home victory over Pasig City on 14 September. If they slow the match down and limit possessions, the point differential narrows significantly.

Confidence: 78%

Reasoning

Based on data as of 7 Oct, 12:05
  • Абра Уиверс — 1. place, 0 points after 16 games (15 wins, 1 losses)
  • Кесон-Сити — 8. place, 0 points after 18 games (9 wins, 9 losses)
  • Абра Уиверс, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Кесон-Сити, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Абра Уиверс — 2, Кесон-Сити — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Abra Weavers LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss
Quezon City LWWWL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 2

2Abra Weavers 0Draw 0Quezon City
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+