Volleyligaen Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Prediction for
Win: Abra Weavers
69%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 2
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Oct, 12:05Abra Weavers are the clear favourites tonight. The model puts them at 90.6 points to Quezon City's 69.8, a margin of 20.8 that sits comfortably within the range of their previous two meetings. Confidence is 78%.
The home side have lost just once in 16 league matches. That solitary defeat came against Cebu Greats on 31 August, a 74-70 home loss that stands as an anomaly in an otherwise dominant campaign. They have won four of their last five, including a 79-72 victory over Eastern Long Lions in the EASL on 3 October.
Quezon City sit in eighth place with nine wins and nine defeats from 18 games. They have also won four of their last five, most recently beating Pasig City 95-81 away on 30 September. The gap between first and eighth is not merely positional; it reflects a consistency that Abra Weavers have maintained since the season began.
The head-to-head record offers no comfort to the visitors. Both previous encounters were played at Quezon City's arena, and both ended in defeats: 79-51 in August 2026 and 99-77 in June 2025. The model's expectation of a two-goal margin aligns with those results.
A draw suits neither side, and the model assigns it zero probability. The visitors have never beaten Abra Weavers in two attempts, and the home side's recent scoring average of 80.6 points per game suggests they will not be held to a close contest.
The conclusion stops holding if Quezon City find a way to control the tempo. They have shown they can win tight games, as evidenced by their 89-88 home victory over Pasig City on 14 September. If they slow the match down and limit possessions, the point differential narrows significantly.
Confidence: 78%