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Altiri Chiba vs Toyama Grouses: match prediction on 11 October 2026

B League Chiba Port Arena Chiba Miss Match page
Altiri Chiba Toyama Grouses

Prediction for

Win: Altiri Chiba

59%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

59% 1
41% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 9 Oct, 06:05

Toyama Grouses defeat Altiri Chiba

Toyama Grouses secured a 94-74 victory over Altiri Chiba in the B League on 11 October 2026. The result marked a shift in momentum for the visiting side, who finished with a 20-point advantage despite Altiri Chiba's historical dominance in head-to-head meetings. Altiri Chiba were projected for 83.5 points, while Toyama Grouses were projected for 77.3. Instead, the visitors exceeded their predicted output by 16.7 points.

The match followed a period of poor form for the hosts, who had recorded one win and four defeats in their previous five games. Their recent results included a 418-437 scoring record across those fixtures. In contrast, Toyama Grouses had won three of their last five matches, accumulating nine points and outscoring opponents 421-411. The visitors' performance on this day contrasted sharply with their earlier away loss to Shinshu on 27 September 2026, where they conceded 99 points.

Altiri Chiba had won seven of the last ten meetings between the two sides, with Toyama Grouses claiming three victories. However, the current match result added a fourth win to Toyama Grouses' tally in this fixture series. The game statistics showed Toyama Grouses' defensive capabilities, as the hosts failed to reach their average field goal count of 30.5 made shots per game seen over the last ten matches.

The prediction service selected Altiri Chiba with 59% confidence, a forecast that did not materialise. The result leaves Altiri Chiba with a 2-3 record in their last five games and a negative point differential. Toyama Grouses improved their standing with a 3-2 record in the same period.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 9 Oct, 06:05
  • Алитире Чибы, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Тояма Граузес, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 10 games, Алитире Чибы — 7, Тояма Граузес — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Altiri Chiba WLLWL 2 wins · 3 losses
Toyama Grouses WLLWW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 10

7Altiri Chiba 0Draw 3Toyama Grouses
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+