Alytaus Dzukija Women vs Rokiskis Women: match preview on 6 October 2026

The visitors have shown they can compete at this level, while the hosts have struggled to find any consistency.

Form disparity

Alytaus Dzukija have lost every one of their last five matches without securing a single point. Their goal tally of 327 scored against 500 conceded paints a stark picture of their struggles, averaging 65.4 goals scored and 100 conceded per game across that run. The results tell a similar story: a 79:90 defeat away to TTT Riga Juniores on 4 October, followed by a 92:96 loss to Siauliai-Universitetas on the same day. Before that came a 53:139 hammering by Kibirkštis MRU Vilnius Women away on 30 March, a 40:97 home loss to the same side on 19 March, and a 63:78 home defeat to Siauliai-Universitetas on 17 March.

Rokiskis Women, by contrast, have won their only recorded match this season, beating RSU Merks 87:75 away on 3 October. That single result gives them three points and a positive goal difference, while Alytaus Dzukija sit on zero.

Scoring patterns

The numerical gap between the sides is substantial. Alytaus Dzukija's defensive record is particularly worrying, conceding 100 goals on average per game in their last five outings. Rokiskis Women managed 87 goals in their victory, suggesting an attack capable of exploiting weak opposition. Against a host side that has conceded 500 goals across five matches, that advantage looks significant.

Competitive context

Alytaus Dzukija's recent results span both the Moterų lyga and the WBBL, indicating they have been playing across different competitions. Rokiskis Women's lone recorded match came in the Moterų lyga, the same league as this fixture. The difference in competitive level between the WBBL and Moterų lyga could be relevant.

Model assessment

Based on form alone, the model points toward a Rokiskis Women victory. The visitors have demonstrated they can score 87 goals in a match, while the hosts have struggled to breach 80 in any of their recent games. Alytaus Dzukija's inability to prevent goals, combined with Rokiskis's ability to score them, creates a clear pathway for the visitors.

Conditions for the conclusion

This prediction would not hold if Alytaus Dzukija's home advantage proves decisive, or if Rokiskis Women fail to maintain their attacking intensity over 40 minutes. A draw would also undermine the conclusion, particularly given how the visitors have run matches in their limited sample.

Confidence: 65%