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Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz vs Basquet Girona: match prediction on 4 October 2026

ACB Fernando Buesa Arena Vitoria-Gasteiz Hit Match page
Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz Basquet Girona

Prediction for

Win: Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

55%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

55% 1
45% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 2 Oct, 17:05

Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz defeated Basquet Girona 118–78 in the ACB on 4 October 2026 in Vitoria-Gasteiz.

Scoring and attack

Baskonia averaged 95.8 points across their last five fixtures, scoring 479 points in total while conceding 468. In this match their offensive output peaked at 118 points, a margin of 40. Basquet Girona scored 78 points, falling short of their five-game average of 82.2 per match, which included 411 points scored across five games.

Statistical performance

Over ten matches Baskonia averaged 28.8 three-point attempts per game, hitting 11.17, while Girona attempted 31.6 and made 8. Girona averaged 35.1 rebounds (12.8 offensive) compared with Baskonia’s 33 (9.3 offensive). Baskonia recorded 18.8 assists and 11.9 turnovers per game, whereas Girona averaged 15.9 assists and 14.1 turnovers.

Head-to-head context

In seven meetings since 2023 Baskonia recorded five wins and Girona two. The previous fixture between the sides took place on 22 March 2026, when Baskonia won 94–81 at home. The 118–78 scoreline was the largest victory margin in their recent encounters.

Model prediction

A pre-match model projected 91.5 points for Baskonia and 87.4 for Girona with a 0% probability of a draw. The actual result exceeded the model’s estimate for the home side by 26.5 points and fell short of the away side’s forecast by 9.4 points.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 2 Oct, 17:05
  • Баскония Витория-Гастейс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Баскет Жирона, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 7 games, Баскония Витория-Гастейс — 5, Баскет Жирона — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz LLLLW 1 win · 4 losses
Basquet Girona WWLLW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 7

5Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz 0Draw 2Basquet Girona
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+