Dallas Wings Women vs Connecticut Sun Women: match prediction on 31 August 2026

Dallas Wings Women are clear favourites against Connecticut Sun Women on Monday night. The home side sits fourth in the standings with 23 wins from 39 games, while Connecticut languishes seventh with just 10 victories in 38 matches. Dallas have won both encounters so far this season, including an 83:63 victory at home on August 2nd. A projection based on current trends suggests Dallas will score 88.1 points compared to Connecticut's 78.6.

Dallas have found their rhythm at home recently. Three consecutive victories at the American Airlines Center include wins over Portland Women 96:78, Seattle 92:70, and Indiana 91:85. They have scored 279 points across those three games, averaging 93 per match. Connecticut's away form is weaker. They lost 68:77 to Los Angeles and 78:101 to Las Vegas in their last two road trips, failing to match the pace of stronger opponents.

The head-to-head record over the past six meetings belongs to Dallas, who have won four times. Connecticut pulled off victories in August 2025 and August 2024, but those results feel distant now. Dallas won both games this year, and the 20-point margin in the most recent meeting shows a gap that has widened. Connecticut have struggled to contain Dallas's offense, conceding 86, 109, and 83 points in losses since July 2025.

Dallas average 43.6 points per game over their last ten matches, while Connecticut manage 38.2. Dallas also record more assists (20.5 versus 18.1) and commit fewer personal fouls (16.6 compared to 21.0). Connecticut's higher foul rate creates free-throw opportunities and disrupts their own defensive rhythm. The point expectations align with these trends, projecting a comfortable margin for the hosts.

Dallas's home advantage, superior league position, and recent dominance in head-to-head meetings point to a home win. Connecticut would need to shoot significantly above their average and limit Dallas's scoring below 80 points for this prediction to fail.