Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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China Women vs Czech Republic Women: match prediction on 6 September 2026
China Women
Czech Republic Women
Prediction for
Win: Czech Republic Women
91%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
9%
1
91%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 5 Sep, 15:54- Китай Женщин, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Чехия Женщины, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Китай Женщин — 1, Чехия Женщины — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
China Women
WWWLW
4 wins · 1 loss
Czech Republic Women
LWLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 1
1China Women
0Draw
0Czech Republic Women
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 5 Sep, 15:54Czech Republic Women to Win
The model expects them to score 109.2 points to China's 49.2, and their recent form shows a side that has won three of its last five while the hosts have lost four.
China Women have not looked like a team capable of competing at this level. They lost 61:94 to the United States on 4 September and 76:88 to Italy on 21 August. Their only victory in the last five came against Brazil on 17 March, and since then they have accumulated just three points from 15 available. They have scored 368 points and conceded 413 across those five matches, a negative differential that suggests defensive vulnerability.
The Czech Republic Women have been far more competitive. They beat South Korea 79:64 at home on 1 September and edged past Turkey 77:76 away on 22 August. Even their defeats have been narrow — a 52:62 loss to Turkey and a 54:63 defeat to Italy. They have scored 338 points and conceded 340, a much tighter margin than China's struggles.
The two sides met once before on 15 March 2026, when the Czech Republic hosted China in the World Cup. China won 84:74 in Prague, but that result now sits months behind them. The Czech Republic has had time to regroup since then, while China's form has deteriorated rather than improved.
The model's point expectation of 109.2 for the Czech Republic against 49.2 for China suggests a comfortable margin of victory. This conclusion stops holding if the Czech Republic plays conservatively to protect a lead, or if China's lone recent win against Brazil indicates they can still produce against weaker opposition. The draw probability sits at 0%, and both teams scoring is also marked at 0% — a one-sided affair seems the most likely scenario.