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Chinese Taipei vs Qatar: match prediction on 13 September 2026

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Chinese Taipei Qatar

Prediction for

Win: Qatar

66%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

34% 1
66% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 05:07

Qatar win by 17 points. The model projects 87.7 to 70.4, and Qatar's narrow five-point defeat in their Asian Games opener against Jordan—14:19—suggests they can impose themselves on Chinese Taipei's defence.

Their most recent result was a 69:72 defeat to Iran on 12 September at home. Before that they beat Jordan 83:80 away on 10 September. The other three were losses to Japan twice and to Iran in August. They scored 364 points and conceded 400 across those five games.

Qatar also sit on two wins and three defeats in their last five. Their victory came away to Iran 59:53 on 10 September. The remaining three were defeats to Japan, China and a win against Saudi Arabia in a friendly. They have scored 290 and conceded 348 in that span.

The model does not expect a close contest. It places Qatar 17.3 points ahead and gives the draw a 0% probability. Both teams to score is also listed at 0%, as is the chance of three or more scoring events.

A draw would break this conclusion. So would Chinese Taipei holding Qatar to under 70 points while scoring 75 or more themselves.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 05:07
  • Китайский Тайбэй, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Катар, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Chinese Taipei LLWLW 2 wins · 3 losses
Qatar LLWLL 1 win · 4 losses

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+