Darussafaka vs Harem Spor: match prediction on 11 October 2026

Darussafaka won the TBL fixture against Harem Spor on Sunday evening. The result defied the visitors’ recent momentum and the model’s expectation of a tight contest, which had projected Harem Spor Spor to edge the hosts 78–79. The victory ended a run of three defeats in four league games for the home side.

Recent Form

Harem Spor Spor entered the match with significant momentum, having secured four wins from their previous five TBL matches. Their only defeat in that period came against Gaziantep on 03 October, a 70–67 loss. Conversely, Darussafaka had struggled, recording two wins and three losses in their last five outings, including consecutive home defeats to CO Basket and Final Spor.

Head-to-Head Record

The teams had met twice in recent years: Harem Spor Spor defeated Darussafaka 79–72 in February 2026, while the hosts won 86–70 at home in October 2025.

Match Outcome

The prediction model had assigned a 0% probability to a draw and indicated that a result within three points was unlikely. Harem Spor Spor’s superior goal difference in their recent form—427 goals for against 345 for—contrasted sharply with Darussafaka’s 375 for and 400 against. Despite the statistical edge belonging to the away side, the hosts secured the points, overturning the projected outcome.

Implications

The win provides Darussafaka with crucial points after a difficult run of form. For Harem Spor Spor, the defeat halts a strong sequence of results and leaves them searching for consistency on the road.