Deportivo Amambay vs Felix Perez Cardozo: match prediction on 31 August 2026

Deportivo Amambay win by 5–10 points. The model puts their expected output at 83.3 points against 77.7 for the visitors, and the home side's recent scoring efficiency — 392 points in five games — gives them the edge on their own court.

Form and momentum

Both sides have mirrored records over their last five matches: three wins and two losses, nine points each. Amambay's victories came against Deportivo Campoalto at home, Capiata Bulls away, and San Alfonzo away, while their defeats were narrow — 69:71 at home to Dep. San Jose and 72:80 away to Colonias Gold. Cardozo have won at home against Campoalto and San Alfonso, and away against Capiata Bulls, but lost 75:93 at home to San José and 87:108 away to Olimpia Kings Asuncion. The home side's scoring spread is tighter; the visitors have blown out some opponents and been blown out in others.

Head-to-head pattern

Six meetings over the past year have produced three wins apiece. Cardozo won 92:81 at Amambay's venue in May 2026 and 99:74 at home in April 2026. Amambay responded with 84:69 away in October 2025 and 85:78 at home in May 2025. The other two fixtures — 61:58 at home and 95:74 away — also split evenly. The most recent encounter went the visitors' way, but the pattern shows no sustained dominance from either side.

Statistical profiles

Amambay average 70.4 field goal attempts per game with 29.6 made, while Cardozo attempt 65.1 and make 30. The home side takes more shots but converts a similar proportion. Cardozo rely more on free throws — 23.4 attempts compared to 16.7 — and convert 16.2, suggesting they draw more fouls. Rebounding tells another story: Amambay pull down 41.3 boards per game, 11.8 of them offensive, against Cardozo's 32.9 total with just 6.5 offensive. The home side controls the glass more effectively.

Table position and stakes

Cardozo sit fourth with eight wins from fourteen matches, two ahead of Amambay's sixth win. The gap is small, and both teams are fighting for positioning. Amambay need a win to close the distance, while Cardozo want to maintain their cushion. The home court advantage matters in a tight contest — Amambay have won three of their five recent matches at home and lost two.

Where the model breaks down

This prediction stops holding if Cardozo's free-throw advantage becomes decisive. If they convert more than 70% from the line and Amambay's rebounding edge disappears, the visitors could outscore the model's 77.7 projection. A draw suits neither team — the model assigns 0% probability — but a close finish within five points would still leave the home side slightly favored.