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Diablos Rojos vs Astros: match prediction on 26 September 2026
Diablos Rojos
Astros
Prediction for
Win: Diablos Rojos
74%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
74%
1
26%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 24 Sep, 23:34- Красные дьяволы, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Астрос, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 13 games, Красные дьяволы — 6, Астрос — 7
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Diablos Rojos
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
Astros
WWWWW
5 wins
Head to head 14
6Diablos Rojos
0Draw
8Astros
- 27 SepDiablos Rojos — Astros67:86
- 1 Nov 2025Astros — Diablos Rojos63:83
- 31 Oct 2025Astros — Diablos Rojos66:77
- 28 Oct 2025Diablos Rojos — Astros68:69
- 27 Oct 2025Diablos Rojos — Astros80:99
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 24 Sep, 23:34Match Outcome
Diablos Rojos won the fixture on 26 September 2026, predicted to score 98.2 points against Astros' 75.4.
Statistical Context
Diablos Rojos entered the contest with a recent form record of three victories and two defeats in their last five matches, scoring 447 points while conceding 437. Astros mirrored this form with identical three wins and two losses over the same period, tallying 426 points for and 411 against. The teams' attacking outputs differed slightly in the aggregate; Diablos Rojos averaged 31.5 three-point attempts per match compared to Astros' 24.2, while Astros maintained a higher field goal success rate of 32.1 attempts versus Diablos Rojos' 28.4.
Historical Standing
The result maintains the narrow edge Astros held in the overall head-to-head record prior to this encounter, where they had seven wins to Diablos Rojos' six. However, Diablos Rojos have dominated recent fixtures at home, winning three of the last five matches played at their venue, including a 96-91 victory over Correcaminos UAT Victoria and a 107-79 win over the same opponent. A draw was ruled out.
Team Metrics
Defensively, Astros recorded higher averages in steals (8.0) and blocks (3.4) than Diablos Rojos (6.4 steals, 2.5 blocks), though both sides committed similar numbers of turnovers, with Diablos Rojos averaging 11.6 and Astros 11.3. Diablos Rojos relied more heavily on their perimeter game, while Astros utilised the free-throw line more frequently, averaging 24.2 attempts compared to Diablos Rojos' 19.4.