Enisey vs Samara: match prediction on 14 October 2026

Enisey to win. The visitors have lost every one of the last six meetings, and the model projects 88.9 points for the hosts against 72.9 for Samara — a margin that reflects both the head-to-head record and the recent trajectory of the fixture.

Enisey arrive with no results in their last five games: five defeats, 336 points scored and 438 conceded, a negative differential of 102. Their recent run includes 65:94 at home against CSKA Moscow and 66:81 away at Lokomotiv Kuban. Samara's form is only marginally better — one win in five, that victory coming 78:76 away at Nizhny Novgorod on 20 April, before four successive losses including a 62:117 home defeat to Unics Kazan on 7 October.

History favours the hosts hands down, with margins of 5, 12, 32, 15, 22 and 21 points. The most recent meeting on 17 March 2026 saw Samara lose 73:94 at home. Across the full 14-match record, Enisey hold 10 victories to Samara's 4, and the pattern has not shifted.

The model's point projections — 88.9 for Enisey, 72.9 for Samara — suggest a 16-point margin. The draw probability sits at 0%, and the model gives no chance of either side scoring or three or more scoring events. These figures are derived from goals scored and conceded; they do not account for injuries or the fixture list.

This conclusion stops holding if Samara replicate the intensity of their 78:76 away win at Nizhny Novgorod — a performance where they held a lead and closed the game out. That result came in April, before their current run of four losses.