Golden State Valkyries Women vs Las Vegas Aces Women: match prediction on 4 October 2026

# Valkyries Face Long Odds Against Dominant Aces

The Las Vegas Aces are favourites to add another chapter to their head-to-head dominance when they visit the Golden State Valkyries Women on 4 October. They are expected to do so unless the Valkyries find a way to disrupt their rhythm early.

The Valkyries sit second in the standings with 32 wins from 44 matches, one victory ahead of third-placed Las Vegas who have 31 wins. The gap is negligible, but the Aces carry momentum. They have won four of their last five games, while the Valkyries have taken three victories in the same period. The Valkyries' last outing was a 77-73 home win over Dallas on 3 October, but before that they suffered a 100-108 defeat away at the same opponents.

History weighs heavily against the hosts. The most recent encounter came on 21 June when Las Vegas won 92-73 at home.

The model projects the Valkyries to score 81.8 points and Las Vegas 79.6, but those figures ignore the head-to-head reality. The Aces have consistently outperformed such projections against this opponent. The Valkyries have conceded 426 points in their last five games, averaging 85.2 per match.

The Aces have allowed 428 points in five games, averaging 85.6 per match, but their ability to limit high-scoring opponents has been evident. If the Valkyries find their shooting touch from beyond the arc, they could stay within reach. Their three-point average of 29.1 attempts per game suggests they will look to exploit that area.