Champions League
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Hungary Women
Prediction for
Win: Hungary Women
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 5 Sep, 15:54Hungary Women are the clear favourites against South Korea Women, and the gap in recent results opens the door for a comfortable victory. The hosts have won four of their last five matches, while the visitors have lost four of five. The model puts Hungary at 73.7 points and South Korea at 71.1, but the draw probability sits at 0%, meaning the sides are expected to separate on the scoreboard. Hungary win by a narrow margin. Confidence 65%.
The form lines tell a simple story. Hungary defeated Nigeria 71:67 away on 05.09.2026 before falling to France 53:99 at home the day before. South Korea lost 69:95 to France away on 05.09.2026, beat Nigeria 99:81 at home on 04.09.2026, then lost 64:79 to Czech Republic away, 77:78 to Japan away, and 59:77 to Japan away. The visitors have not won since 04.09.2026.
What does exist are recent averages. Hungary averaged 16.5 three-pointers, 15.5 assists, 40 rebounds, 6 steals, and 22.5 turnovers per match over two games. South Korea averaged 29.5 three-pointers, 28 assists, 20.5 rebounds, 13 steals, and 13 turnovers. The visitors shoot more from distance and move the ball more freely, but Hungary controls the glass.
Both sides entered this fixture with momentum, but Hungary's four wins contrast sharply with South Korea's four defeats. The visitors' only victory came against Nigeria at home, while Hungary's sole loss was the heavy 53:99 defeat to France. The model's 0% draw probability reflects the expectation that one side will pull away.
The visitors average 20.5 boards compared to Hungary's 40, and a shift in that area could level the contest. A draw would suit South Korea given how they tend to run the clock down in tight games. Hungary's turnover rate of 22.5 per game also leaves room for a comeback if the visitors force more mistakes.
Hungary Women to win — confidence 65%