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62%
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Ilirija Ljubljana vs Subotica: match prediction on 10 October 2026
Ilirija Ljubljana
Subotica
Prediction for
Win: Subotica
71%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
29%
1
71%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 8 Oct, 16:45- Иллирия Любляна, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Суботица, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Иллирия Любляна — 1, Суботица — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Ilirija Ljubljana
WWLLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Subotica
WWLWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 2
1Ilirija Ljubljana
0Draw
1Subotica
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Oct, 16:45Subotica win in Ljubljana
Subotica recorded 21 assists compared to 15 for Ilirija Ljubljana. The visitors also dominated the rebounding battle, securing 41 total rebounds against 37 for the hosts. Ilirija Ljubljana attempted 67 field goals, while Subotica managed 63 attempts. Subotica’s defensive output included nine steals to Ilirija’s six.
The previous meeting on 11 January 2026 saw Subotica win 104:86, while Ilirija Ljubljana won 78:75 at home on 10 November 2025. The two sides have split their meetings over the past two matches.
The form tables suggest a clear shift in momentum leading into the fixture. Ilirija Ljubljana entered the game with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, scoring 401 points and conceding 403. Subotica arrived with four wins from five games, including a victory over Vechta in the Champions League on 7 October, and held a point differential of +27 across the same period. Subotica had beaten Ilirija in their last ABA League meeting.
The match statistics reveal a contest where the visitors controlled the pace and playmaking. Subotica’s 21 assists indicate a higher level of ball circulation compared to the hosts’ 15. Despite Ilirija Ljubljana taking three additional field goal attempts, Subotica’s ability to convert opportunities and limit defensive exposure through steals and blocks proved decisive in securing the away win.