Ironi Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Ashdod B.C.: match prediction on 5 October 2026

A Maccabi Ashdod victory on 5 October is expected. The model projects 116.4 points for the visitors against 65.8 for Ironi Ramat Gan — a gap of 50.6 points that does not appear to have a counterpart in either side's recent performances. The gap is enormous, and the model treats the games as entirely different fixtures.

Both teams have collected 6 points from their last 5 League Cup matches, but the context differs. Ironi Ramat Gan lost 80:83 away to Hapoel Holon, 75:77 away to Hapoel HaEmek, and 82:99 at home to Hapoel Galil Elyon. They won 110:104 against Hapoel Holon in May and 90:83 away to Ironi Kiryat Ata. Maccabi Ashdod lost 55:75 away to Hapoel Eilat, 101:103 away to Hapoel Be'er Sheva, and 77:110 at home to Hapoel Jerusalem. Their two victories came against Ironi Nahariya in June, 94:83 at home and 86:82 away.

Ironi Ramat Gan average 87.4 points scored and 89.2 conceded across their last 5 games. Maccabi Ashdod average 82.8 scored and 90.6 conceded. The model's expectation for Ironi Ramat Gan — 65.8 points — sits 21.6 points below their recent scoring average. For Maccabi Ashdod, 116.4 exceeds their recent output by 33.6 points. The model sees these as separate fixtures, not continuations of recent form.

Over 10 matches Ironi Ramat Gan attempted 23.6 three-pointers per game and converted 9.86. Maccabi Ashdod, from 3 matches, attempted 33 and made 10.67. The visitors take significantly more long-range shots. Ironi Ramat Gan's lower attempt rate suggests a more conservative approach.

A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. The prediction breaks if Ironi Ramat Gan shoot above 12 three-pointers and convert at a rate exceeding 40%, which would push their total well past the model's ceiling, or if Maccabi Ashdod underperform their recent rebounding average of 34 per game and allow Ironi to control possession through defensive boards.