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Lyon-Villeurbanne vs Crvena zvezda: match prediction on 13 October 2026
Lyon-Villeurbanne
Crvena zvezda
Prediction for
Win: Crvena zvezda
55%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
45%
1
55%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 19:05- Лион-Вилёрбан, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Црвена Звезда, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Лион-Вилёрбан — 2, Црвена Звезда — 6
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Lyon-Villeurbanne
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
Crvena zvezda
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 12
4Lyon-Villeurbanne
0Draw
8Crvena zvezda
- 10 AprLyon-Villeurbanne — Crvena zvezda93:106
- 28 Oct 2025Crvena zvezda — Lyon-Villeurbanne79:65
- 4 Feb 2025Crvena zvezda — Lyon-Villeurbanne73:66
- 14 Nov 2024Lyon-Villeurbanne — Crvena zvezda77:74
- 9 Jan 2024Lyon-Villeurbanne — Crvena zvezda100:91
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 19:05Lyon-Villeurbanne and Crvena zvezda met in the EuroLeague on 13 October 2026, with the Serbian side emerging from a recent head-to-head series with a clear advantage. Over the last six meetings between the two clubs, Crvena Zvezda secured six wins compared to two for the French outfit. The most recent encounter in that sequence took place on 10 April 2026, where Crvena Zvezda defeated Lyon-Villeurbanne 106-93, continuing a pattern of dominance that the French team has struggled to reverse in the tournament.
Form and Performance
Both teams entered the fixture with identical records in their previous five matches: three wins and two losses. Lyon-Villeurbanne had seen scoring struggles in their last EuroLeague outing against Panathinaikos, losing 79-102, while also suffering a 92-105 defeat at home to Valencia. Crvena zvezda displayed greater defensive solidity in their away match against Dubai, winning 77-58, though they had conceded a close 77-72 loss to Anadolu Efes Istanbul at home earlier in October. The statistical averages suggest Crvena Zvezda controlled the paint more effectively, averaging 38.67 rebounds per game compared to Lyon-Villeurbanne's 30.6, while Lyon-Villeurbanne attempted more three-point shots (30.3 vs 28.33).
Match Analysis
The data indicates that Crvena zvezda held a superior efficiency rate in the field, converting 32 shots out of 69.5 attempts on average, whereas Lyon-Villeurbanne converted 30.25 out of 65.25. The model prediction for this fixture anticipated a tight contest, with Crvena Zvezda expected to score 85.3 points to Lyon-Villeurbanne's 82.2, reflecting the narrow margin typically seen in their interactions.
Result Context
The figures do not suggest a statistical anomaly; rather, they point to a consistent trend where Crvena zvezda's physical dominance in rebounding translates into points on the board, while Lyon-Villeurbanne's reliance on three-point shooting (11.67 made per game) often leaves them vulnerable to defensive pressure.