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Nagasaki vs Shimane: match prediction on 23 September 2026

B League Happiness Arena Nagasaki Miss Match page
Nagasaki Shimane

Prediction for

Win: Nagasaki

58%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

58% 1
42% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 21 Sep, 11:11

Nagasaki extend dominance with victory over Shimane

Nagasaki defeated Shimane in a B League fixture that continued a clear trend in their rivalry. Nagasaki's recent form stands at four wins and one defeat in five matches, while Shimane have managed only two victories in the same period. Historically, Nagasaki hold the upper hand with six wins to Shimane's four in ten meetings.

Statistical comparison

The averages for the last ten matches highlight different strengths for each club. Shimane outperformed Nagasaki in total rebounds, securing 32.1 compared to 27.9, and also held a higher defensive rebound count of 24.0 against 21.6. However, Nagasaki recorded more steals at 9.9 per game versus Shimane's 6.9. Nagasaki also averaged more successful three-pointers (11.2) and free throws (13.9) than Shimane (9.0 and 12.0 respectively). Shimane's field goal percentage was slightly higher at 64.6 per cent compared to Nagasaki's 63.3 per cent.

Match context

The match took place on September 23, 2026, according to the scheduled start time of 10:05 UTC. No team news regarding injuries or suspensions was available for either club. A report from September 15, 2026, noted that Lee Hyun-jung was signed by the Portland Trail Blazers, though this is not confirmed to impact the current squad availability for this specific game. The venue and coaches could not be verified through the available sources.

Head-to-head and future outlook

Nagasaki have won three of the last six encounters between the sides, with Shimane claiming the other three. The most recent meeting saw Nagasaki win comfortably by 32 points. An analyst pick had predicted a Nagasaki victory with 58 per cent confidence. This result contributes to Nagasaki's record of 12 points from their last five games, compared to Shimane's 6 points from the same span.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 21 Sep, 11:11
  • Нагасаки, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Симане, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 10 games, Нагасаки — 6, Симане — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Nagasaki WLWWL 3 wins · 2 losses
Shimane LWWLW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 10

6Nagasaki 0Draw 4Shimane
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+