ELJ
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Olimpia Kings Asuncion
Dep. San Jose
Prediction for
Win: Olimpia Kings Asuncion
54%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 60
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 01:13Olimpia Kings Asuncion will edge Dep. San Jose in a tight contest, with the model's expectation of 82.1 points for the hosts carrying more weight than the visitors' superior head-to-head record.
Dep. San Jose leads after 14 matches with 13 wins and only one defeat. Olimpia Kings Asuncion trail by a single victory, sitting second with 12 wins and two losses. Both teams have won their last five games without dropping a point, and neither has tasted a draw in that run.
What separates them is the head-to-head, where Dep. San Jose has dominated over the years. In 49 meetings, Olimpia Kings Asuncion have won 18 and Dep. San Jose 31. The most recent six games show the same pattern: Dep. San Jose won four, Olimpia Kings Asuncion two.
Dep. San Jose have been equally impressive in attack, averaging 93.8 points per game in their last five matches. Their 113:75 win over Deportivo Campoalto on 3 September shows the ceiling of their offensive capability. Yet the model expects them to score fewer points than Olimpia Kings Asuncion, suggesting the visitors will struggle to match the hosts' output.