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Perth Wildcats vs Adelaide: match prediction on 24 September 2026
Perth Wildcats
Adelaide
Prediction for
Win: Perth Wildcats
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
52%
1
48%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 22 Sep, 12:36- Перт Уайлдкэтс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Аделаида, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 16 games, Перт Уайлдкэтс — 12, Аделаида — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Perth Wildcats
WLLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Adelaide
LWLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 24
17Perth Wildcats
0Draw
7Adelaide
- 20 FebPerth Wildcats — Adelaide86:74
- 28 Dec 2025Adelaide — Perth Wildcats95:84
- 7 Dec 2025Perth Wildcats — Adelaide94:95
- 9 Nov 2025Adelaide — Perth Wildcats87:94
- 7 Feb 2025Perth Wildcats — Adelaide112:104
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 22 Sep, 12:36Perth Wildcats vs Adelaide (36ers) Preview
Adelaide to Edge Close Encounter
The odds point to a tight contest, with Perth projected to score 92.7 points and Adelaide 90.4 — a margin of just 2.3 points between them.
Perth have found themselves in deep trouble recently, winning just one of their last five matches. Their defeats came against South East Melbourne (79:100 at home), Sydney Kings (75:89 at home), Sydney Kings away (104:105), and South East Melbourne away (94:111). Only their victory over Melbourne United (95:77) stands out from that run. They have conceded 482 points while scoring 447. The defence is leaking.
Adelaide have shown markedly better momentum. Three victories from five attempts includes away wins against Melbourne United (97:95) and home victories over Sydney Kings (92:91 and 91:89). They have scored 474 points while conceding 494, suggesting their defence has been vulnerable but their attack has found more rhythm.
The head-to-head picture tells a different story entirely. Over 16 meetings in recent years, Perth have won 12 and Adelaide only 4. In the most recent six encounters, Perth won four and Adelaide two. The last meeting on 20 February saw Perth win 86:74 at home, but Adelaide have won two of the last three at their own venue.