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Plzeň U20
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Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Puente Alto CD vs Leones Quilpue: match prediction on 18 September 2026
Puente Alto CD
Leones Quilpue
Prediction for
Win: Leones Quilpue
51%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
49%
1
51%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 01:33- Пуэнте-Альто — 2. place, 0 points after 12 games (9 wins, 3 losses)
- Леонес Кильпуэ — 3. place, 0 points after 12 games (8 wins, 4 losses)
- Пуэнте-Альто, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Леонес Кильпуэ, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 28 games, Пуэнте-Альто — 8, Леонес Кильпуэ — 20
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Puente Alto CD
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
Leones Quilpue
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 35
11Puente Alto CD
0Draw
24Leones Quilpue
- 2 AugPuente Alto CD — Leones Quilpue75:88
- 12 JulLeones Quilpue — Puente Alto CD73:62
- 26 MayPuente Alto CD — Leones Quilpue68:83
- 24 MayLeones Quilpue — Puente Alto CD89:81
- 23 MayLeones Quilpue — Puente Alto CD64:73
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 01:33Leones Quilpue to win on Wednesday night, 51 per cent confidence. The visitors have taken four of the last six meetings between these sides, including both clashes this season, and the model projects them to edge the hosts by a single point.
Puente Alto CD are riding a five-match winning streak. They have scored 408 points while conceding 326 across those fixtures, averaging 81.6 points per game. The most recent result was a 55:35 victory over Universidad de Concepcion on 14 September, the lowest-scoring game of their current run.
Leones Quilpue have been less dominant in their own right. Four wins and one defeat in their last five matches, with 366 points scored against 343 conceded. Their only loss came at Universidad de Concepcion on 13 August, when they fell 76:97.
The head-to-head record tells a clearer story. Leones have won four of the last six encounters, including a 88:75 victory at Puente Alto on 2 August and a 73:62 win at home on 12 July. Puente Alto's only success in that period came on 22 May with a 73:64 win at Quilpué.
The statistical profiles are close. Puente Alto average 61.2 field goal attempts per game compared to Leones' 62.0. The visitors take more three-pointers (28.9 versus 27.1) and convert more (10.11 versus 8.67).
A draw suits neither side, and the model puts the probability at zero per cent. Both teams to score is also listed at zero, though in basketball terms that simply means both sides will register points. The model expects 76.7 points for Puente Alto and 77.5 for Leones Quilpue.
The conclusion stops holding if Puente Alto maintain their defensive intensity from the Concepcion game. A 55:35 scoreline suggests they can shut opponents down when they tighten up. If they replicate that level of restriction against Quilpué's 15.8 turnovers per game, the visitors' advantage evaporates.
The service pick remains Leones Quilpue. They have the head-to-head record, the model's edge in projected points, and Puente Alto's home form, however strong, is built on beating teams outside the top three. Leones have already proven they can win here.