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Quezon City vs Pasig City: match prediction on 14 September 2026
Quezon City
Pasig City
Prediction for
Win: Quezon City
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
53%
1
47%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 12:13- Кесон Сити — 8. place, 0 points after 18 games (9 wins, 9 losses)
- Пасиг Сити — 5. place, 0 points after 16 games (9 wins, 7 losses)
- Кесон Сити, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Пасиг Сити, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Кесон Сити — 0, Пасиг Сити — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Quezon City
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
Pasig City
LLLLL
5 losses
Head to head 2
1Quezon City
0Draw
1Pasig City
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 12:13Quezon City win at home. The model puts their expected points at 86.9 against Pasig City's 83.4, and the home side's recent form carries more weight despite both teams sitting on nine victories each. Quezon City have won three of their last five games, while Pasig City have managed only two.
Table position and games played
Pasig City occupy fifth place after 16 matches with a 9-7 record, while Quezon City sit eighth after 18 games with 9 wins and 9 losses. The identical win totals mask a different reality: Pasig City have played fewer fixtures and therefore have fewer opportunities to drop points. That gap matters less here than the fact that the home side has already proven they can beat teams in this league.
Recent results
Quezon City's last five outings produced three victories and two defeats, with scores of 54-70, 65-61, 107-95, 51-79 and 111-94. They have scored 388 points and conceded 399 across those matches. Pasig City's five games yielded two wins and three losses, with totals of 79-121, 92-80, 87-96, 108-99 and 90-100. That is 456 points for and 496 against. The home side's defensive numbers are tighter, and their biggest win—111-94—shows they can outscore opponents when they get going.
Head-to-head
There is one recorded meeting between these sides, played on 2 June 2025. Pasig City won 85-79 away from home. That result suggests they can compete with Quezon City, but it also came over a year ago. The model's expectations are built on current form, not historical meetings that may no longer reflect the teams' makeup.
Conditions that break the prediction
A draw would suit the visitors, and given how they tend to run the clock down in tight games, that is the main threat to the home win. Pasig City have shown they can score heavily—108 points against Manila Batang Quiapo—but they have also conceded 121 in a single game. If their defence collapses early, the model's estimate shifts. The model expects 86.9 points for Quezon City and 83.4 for Pasig City, but those figures are averages across many simulated versions of the match. They do not guarantee a specific scoreline.
Confidence: 65%