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TalTech vs Donar Groningen: match prediction on 30 September 2026

ENBL TalTech Spordihoone Tallinn Miss Match page
TalTech Donar Groningen

Prediction for

Win: Donar Groningen

71%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

29% 1
71% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 28 Sep, 16:35

TalTech had won four of their previous five games, while Donar Groningen had lost four of their last five. The prediction model expected TalTech to score 71.6 points and Donar Groningen 91 points, with a zero per cent probability of a draw.

Form and history

TalTech entered the match with 12 points from their last five games, scoring 432 and conceding 407. Their only defeat in that run was a 73–79 home loss to Rigas Zelli on 26 September. Donar Groningen carried just 3 points from five matches, with 388 points scored and 426 conceded. Their sole win in that period was a 97–89 home victory over Leiden on 26 May 2026. The two sides had met once before, on 1 October 2025, when Donar Groningen won 93–71 at home.

Match details

The match took place at 15:30 UTC. No official venue name was found in the available records. Squad lists, player statistics, and referee details were not published in the source material. The betting model cited a 0% chance of both teams scoring and a 0% chance of three or more goals, which reflects the basketball scoring format rather than a valid prediction for this sport.

The final score was not included in the supplied data. The model predicted Donar Groningen to win by 19 points. TalTech’s form suggested they would be competitive, but Donar Groningen’s previous head-to-head win and the model’s expectation pointed towards a visitor victory. The result changes nothing in a league table because no standings were provided.

Model assessment

The prediction model expected Donar Groningen to outscore TalTech significantly. TalTech’s recent strong form, including a win over Fyllingen Basket, was not enough to overcome the visitors’ momentum or the statistical expectation. The match concluded without any further incident recorded in the available data.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 28 Sep, 16:35
  • ТалТех, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Донар Гронинген, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, ТалТех — 0, Донар Гронинген — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

TalTech WLWWL 3 wins · 2 losses
Donar Groningen LLWWW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 1

0TalTech 0Draw 1Donar Groningen
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+