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Valur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan: match prediction on 8 October 2026

Premier league Laugardalshöll Reykjavík Miss Match page
Valur Reykjavik Stjarnan

Prediction for

Win: Stjarnan

53%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

47% 1
53% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 6 Oct, 20:25

Valur Reykjavik defeated Stjarnan 90-77 on 8 October 2026 at their home venue in the Premier League. The match followed a tight contest on 8 January 2026, which Stjarnan had won 105-102, but the momentum shifted decisively in favour of the home team this season. Pre-match models predicted a very close encounter, estimating Valur at 90.6 points and Stjarnan at 91.5, with a theoretical probability of a draw at zero per cent. Valur had secured two wins from their last five matches, including victories over Grindavik in April and May 2026. Stjarnan's scoring average of 458 points in five matches (91.6 per game) was lower than their output against Valur. Valur Reykjavik maintains a historical advantage in this rivalry, holding seven wins compared to Stjarnan's six across thirteen meetings in recent years. The 90-77 result on 8 October 2026 added to Valur's cumulative strength, particularly when considering their home record against their neighbours. While Stjarnan had managed to win in Reykjavik in January 2026, their inability to replicate that performance suggests Valur's defensive adjustments were effective.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 6 Oct, 20:25
  • Валюр Рейкьявик, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Стьярнан, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 13 games, Валюр Рейкьявик — 7, Стьярнан — 6

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Valur Reykjavik LWLWW 3 wins · 2 losses
Stjarnan LLLLL 5 losses

Head to head 20

11Valur Reykjavik 0Draw 9Stjarnan
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+