Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Seattle Storm Women vs Los Angeles Sparks Women: match prediction on 30 August 2026
Seattle Storm Women
Los Angeles Sparks Women
Prediction for
Win: Seattle Storm Women
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
52%
1
48%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 22:08- Сиэтл Стоорм — 8. place, 0 points after 39 games (8 wins, 31 losses)
- Лос-Анджелес Спёркс (жен.) — 6. place, 0 points after 38 games (13 wins, 25 losses)
- Сиэтл Стоорм, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Лос-Анджелес Спёркс (жен.), last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 14 games, Сиэтл Стоорм — 8, Лос-Анджелес Спёркс (жен.) — 6
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Seattle Storm Women
LLLWL
1 win · 4 losses
Los Angeles Sparks Women
LWLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 21
13Seattle Storm Women
0Draw
8Los Angeles Sparks Women
- 7 JulLos Angeles Sparks Women — Seattle Storm Women64:82
- 11 JunSeattle Storm Women — Los Angeles Sparks Women83:88
- 2 Sep 2025Seattle Storm Women — Los Angeles Sparks Women85:91
- 11 Aug 2025Los Angeles Sparks Women — Seattle Storm Women94:91
- 2 Aug 2025Seattle Storm Women — Los Angeles Sparks Women106:108
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 22:08Seattle Storm are favourites at home against Los Angeles Sparks Women, and the model's expectation of 88.5 points for the Storm against 85.6 for the Sparks supports that. Seattle have won two of their three home meetings with LA this season and carry a slight edge in three-point shooting, 9.1 made versus 7.7 for the Sparks.
Recent form
Seattle's last five games produced two wins and three losses, including a 90:78 victory over Toronto Tempo on 27 August. Their defeats came by narrow margins — 70:92 away at Dallas, 80:82 against Chicago Sky at home, and 82:84 to Portland Women. Los Angeles have managed only one win in five, a 77:68 home victory over Connecticut Sun on 23 August. Their other results were 71:78 against Atlanta Dream, 88:124 to the same side, 77:85 away at Connecticut, and 70:80 at Washington.
Head-to-head
Seattle hold an 8:6 advantage in 14 meetings over recent years. In the last six matches the pattern is mixed: Seattle won at Los Angeles on 7 July 2026, 82:64, and at home on 18 June 2025, 98:67.
Standings and context
Los Angeles sit sixth with 13 wins from 38 games, while Seattle are eighth with 8 wins from 39. The Sparks have a better win rate. That advantage has not translated into consistency — their 1:4 record in the last five shows they are not finding their rhythm. Seattle's 2:3 is marginally better and they have not lost a home game to LA in the last two meetings.
What the model says
The projection of 88.5 points for Seattle against 85.6 for Los Angeles gives the home side a 2.9-point edge. That is not a large margin, but it aligns with Seattle's superior three-point efficiency and their recent home form.
When this changes
My perspective shifts if Los Angeles find a way to control the tempo and limit Seattle's three-point attempts. The Sparks average 24.6 attempts per game, and if they can hold Seattle below their season rate while pushing their own efficiency above 7.7 makes, the gap closes.