WKK Wroclaw vs Inowroclaw: match prediction on 18 September 2026

WKK Wroclaw to win. The model gives them 81.9 expected goals against Inowroclaw's 77.5, and the home side won the last meeting 79:68. That conclusion stops holding if Inowroclaw's away form sharpens beyond their three wins in five.

Recent matches

WKK Wroclaw have two wins and three losses in their last five, collecting six points and scoring 387 goals while conceding 393. They beat Leszno 81:69 at home on 22 March but lost to Spojnia Stargard 80:89 two days later. Their most recent outing was a 79:90 defeat at Pelplin on 11 April.

Inowroclaw sit ahead with three wins and two losses, nine points, and a better goal difference at 388:368. They beat Kotwica Kołobrzeg 95:71 at home on 25 March but lost at Spojnia Stargard 67:81 on 15 April. Their last match was the away loss to WKK Wroclaw on 8 April.

Head-to-head

The sides have met four times over the past two years, each taking two victories. WKK Wroclaw won 81:76 at Inowroclaw on 14 December 2025 and 79:68 at home on 8 April 2026. Inowroclaw responded with 81:79 at WKK Wroclaw on 24 January 2025 and 85:83 at home on 18 October 2024.

Model expectations

The model projects WKK Wroclaw to score 81.9 and Inowroclaw 77.5. It assigns zero percent probability to a draw, zero percent to both teams scoring, and zero percent to three or more goals. Those figures point toward a narrow margin decided by one side's efficiency in the final quarter.

Conditions

A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. If Inowroclaw's defensive record holds and WKK Wroclaw fail to convert their expected goals, the prediction collapses. Confidence: 60%.