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Iceland — Estonia: 1:1, UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League
Iceland L26 Feb · Away Mexico · 0:4D28 Mar · Away Canada · 2:2D31 Mar · Away Haiti · 1:1L31 May · Away Japan · 0:1W10 Jun · Home Argentina · 3:0D26 Sep · Home Estonia · 1:1
1:1
Finished

Kick-off was BST

Estonia W18 Nov 2025 · Away Cyprus · 4:2D27 Mar · Away Kenya · 1:1L30 Mar · Away Rwanda · 0:2W6 Jun · Home Faroe Islands · 1:0L9 Jun · Away Lithuania · 0:1D26 Sep · Away Iceland · 1:1
Venue: Laugardalsvöllur City: Reykjavík

In the UEFA Nations League game on 26 September 2026, Iceland beat Estonia 1:1. Match numbers: shots on target 7:5, corners 7:3.

Match report

Iceland and Estonia played out a 1-1 draw in their UEFA Nations League League C - 1 fixture on Friday. The result leaves both sides with one point from their opening match of the campaign.

Andri Guðjohnsen gave the hosts the lead just before the break. His goal came in the forty-fifth minute, and it looked as though the home side might take all three points. And here's the thing — the momentum didn't last.

Estonia equalised through Maksim Paskotsi in the sixty-fourth minute. The visitors had a chance to go ahead shortly after when Kevor Palumets missed a penalty in the fifty-second minute. To be fair, that miss changed the complexion of the second half entirely.

Iceland controlled possession with sixty-two per cent of the ball and registered seven shots on target. Estonia were more direct, with five shots on target from eight attempts. The home side won seven corners to three, but shots don't always translate into goals.

By then the match had settled into a pattern neither side could break. Yellow cards for Karol Mets, Rasmus Peetson and Stefán Teitur Thórdarson showed the tension building as the game wore on. Substitutions came thick and fast from both benches.

We had backed Iceland to win with sixty-five per cent confidence before kickoff. The prediction didn't come true — and it was that missed penalty that ultimately decided it. Both sides now sit level on points after one game.

Prepared from match data

Video

Match highlights Iceland — Estonia Sport Klub Match highlights Iceland — Estonia

Key numbers

Possession, % 62 – 38
Shots on target 7 – 5
Shots off target 7 – 3
Corners 7 – 3

Match events

  1. 30' 0:0 Iceland Substitution Albert Gudmundsson off: Isak Thorvaldsson
  2. 45' 1:0 Iceland Goal Andri Guðjohnsen assist: Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
  3. 52' 1:0 Estonia Penalty missed Kevor Palumets
  4. 54' 1:0 Estonia Yellow card Karol Mets
  5. 61' 1:0 Estonia Substitution Mihkel Ainsalu off: Patrik Kristal
  6. 64' 1:1 Estonia Goal Maksim Paskotsi assist: Rasmus Peetson
  7. 75' 1:1 Iceland Substitution Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson off: Arnór Sigurðsson
  8. 75' 1:1 Iceland Substitution Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson off: Gylfi Sigurðsson
  9. 78' 1:1 Estonia Substitution karel mustmaa off: Alex Matthias Tamm
  10. 81' 1:1 Estonia Yellow card Rasmus Peetson
  11. 84' 1:1 Iceland Yellow card Stefán Teitur Thórdarson
  12. 84' 1:1 Iceland Substitution Mikael Ellertsson off: Logi Tomasson
  13. 85' 1:1 Iceland Substitution Andri Guðjohnsen off: Kristall Mani Ingason
  14. 86' 1:1 Estonia Substitution Mattias Käit off: Markus Soomets

Statistics

62 Possession, % 38
7 Shots on target 5
7 Shots off target 3
7 Corners 3
13 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
All statistics
4 Blocked shots 0
76 Failed passes 93
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
0.39 Shot accuracy 0
6 Shots from outside the box 3
12 Shots inside the box 5
526 Total passes 310

Line-ups

Iceland

Starting XI
# Player number
12 Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson 12
3 Daníel Leó Grétarsson Schmidt 3
4 Guðlaugur Victor Pálsson 4
16 Stefán Teitur Þórðarson 16
19 Mikael Egill Ellertsson 19
7 Hákon Arnar Haraldsson 7
8 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson 8
11 Albert Guðmundsson 11
9 Orri Steinn Óskarsson 9
20 Jón Dagur Þorsteinsson 20
22 Andri Lucas Guðjohnsen 22
Substitutes
# Player number
1 Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson 1
13 Anton Ari Einarsson 13
2 Logi Tómasson 2
23 Hörður Björgvin Magnússon 23
6 Andri Fannar Baldursson 6
10 Gylfi Þór Sigurðsson 10
17 Aron Einar Malmquist Gunnarsson 17
18 Mikael Neville Anderson 18
21 Arnór Sigurðsson 21
5 Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson 5
14 Brynjólfur Andersen Willumsson 14
15 Kristall Máni Ingason 15
Show full squad

Estonia

Starting XI
# Player number
1 Karl Jakob Hein 1
2 Märten Kuusk 2
3 Maksim Paskotši 3
6 Rasmus Peetson 6
18 Karol Mets 18
19 Michael Schjønning-Larsen 19
4 Mattias Käit 4
10 K. Palumets 10
11 Mihkel Ainsalu 11
20 Markus Poom 20
9 K. Mustmaa 9
Substitutes
# Player number
12 Matvei Igonen 12
22 Karl Andre Vallner 22
5 Erko Jonne Tõugjas 5
13 Joseph Saliste 13
7 Robi Saarma 7
8 Markus Soomets 8
14 P. Kristal 14
15 M. Skvortsov 15
17 Martin Miller 17
23 Frank Liivak 23
16 Alex Matthias Tamm 16
21 Mattias Männilaan 21
Show full squad

Match prediction: Iceland — Estonia

Win: Iceland

Confidence 65%

Reasoning

  • Исландия, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
  • Эстония, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, Исландия — 0, 1 draws, Эстония — 0
Full prediction

Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+

Recent form

Iceland

L26 Feb · Away Mexico · 0:4D28 Mar · Away Canada · 2:2D31 Mar · Away Haiti · 1:1L31 May · Away Japan · 0:1W10 Jun · Home Argentina · 3:0D26 Sep · Home Estonia · 1:1

Recent matches

All team matches

Estonia

W18 Nov 2025 · Away Cyprus · 4:2D27 Mar · Away Kenya · 1:1L30 Mar · Away Rwanda · 0:2W6 Jun · Home Faroe Islands · 1:0L9 Jun · Away Lithuania · 0:1D26 Sep · Away Iceland · 1:1

Recent matches

All team matches