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Canada vs Nepal: match prediction on 11 October 2026

ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 CAA Brampton Cricket Ground Brampton Hit Match page
Canada Nepal

Prediction for

Win: Nepal

61%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

39% 1
61% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 9 Oct, 07:05

Canada and Nepal met in the ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 on October 11, 2026, a fixture that carried weight for both sides' standing in the tournament. Canada sat sixth with 25 points from 27 matches, while Nepal occupied seventh place with 24 points from 30 games.

Form heading into this contest was divergent. Canada had endured a five-match losing streak, failing to win any of their previous encounters and conceding a significant margin in aggregate runs. In contrast, Nepal arrived with four wins from five outings, demonstrating consistency in their recent performances. The historical head-to-head record showed Canada with an edge, having won five of the last nine meetings, but the momentum had clearly shifted towards the visitors in the weeks leading up to the match.

Specific match statistics, such as player counts or ball-by-ball breakdowns, are not available in the provided data. However, the broader figures indicate a match where Nepal's recent trajectory proved decisive. Canada's previous five matches resulted in five defeats with no draws, highlighting a struggle for competitiveness at that specific moment. Nepal’s ability to secure points in their last five games, including victories over teams like Oman and United Arab Emirates, suggested a higher level of execution.

The outcome of this game has implications for the League 2 table. With Nepal moving on to potentially close the gap or overtake Canada depending on the points awarded, the narrow margin between sixth and seventh place remains volatile. Canada’s sixth-place position, secured through 10 wins, faces renewed pressure as Nepal, despite having played three more matches, continues to climb. The result underscores the tight competition at the upper end of the standings.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 9 Oct, 07:05
  • Канада — 6. place, 25 points after 27 games (10 wins, 17 losses)
  • Непал — 7. place, 24 points after 30 games (11 wins, 19 losses)
  • Канада, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Непал, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 9 games, Канада — 5, Непал — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Canada LLLLW 1 win · 4 losses
Nepal WWWWW 5 wins

Head to head 11

6Canada 0Draw 5Nepal
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+