Guyana Amazon Warriors vs St Lucia Kings: match prediction on 10 September 2026

Guyana Amazon Warriors to win. The hosts carry a four-point cushion with two fewer games played, and they have won four of the last six meetings between these sides.

The table tells the story most clearly. Guyana sit second after seven matches with twelve points, while St Lucia Kings are fourth with eight from nine. The gap looks wider than it is on points alone — Guyana have played two fewer games and still lead. Their recent run shows consistency: four wins and one defeat in their last five outings, averaging 143 runs per game across those matches. St Lucia's form is less reliable. Two wins and three losses in their last five, with a combined run difference of 769 to 875.

Head-to-head history favours Guyana. They have won four of the last six encounters, including the most recent meeting on 19 August when St Lucia lost 151 to 157 at home. The pattern is not one-sided dominance — the 2025 clash at St Lucia saw a 203 to 202 result, a single-run margin.

The model's projections align with this reading. Guyana Amazon Warriors are expected to score 161.8 runs, while St Lucia Kings are projected at 147.9. The draw probability sits at zero percent, and both teams scoring is also rated at zero percent. These figures suggest a clear separation rather than a tight contest, though the model does not account for the kind of variance that cricket produces — a single over can shift momentum entirely.

My conclusion holds only if St Lucia's away record proves more competitive than their overall form suggests. They have won two of their last five matches played on the road, including a 211 to 175 victory over Trinbago Knight Riders. If they replicate that kind of performance against Guyana's attack, the gap closes. A loss for Guyana in their next match would also change the context, though that is outside this fixture's scope.

Confidence: 68%