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HC Kriens-Luzern
Prediction for Kolstad — HC Kriens-Luzern
57%
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Hampshire Women vs Surrey Women: match prediction on 16 September 2026
Hampshire Women
Surrey Women
Prediction for
Win: Hampshire Women
51%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
51%
1
49%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 01:13- Хэмпшир Уимен — 2. place, 56 points after 15 games (12 wins, 3 losses)
- Суррей Женщин — 3. place, 40 points after 16 games (9 wins, 7 losses)
- Хэмпшир Уимен, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Суррей Женщин, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 10 games, Хэмпшир Уимен — 5, 1 draws, Суррей Женщин — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Hampshire Women
WWWWW
5 wins
Surrey Women
LWWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 10
5Hampshire Women
1Draw
4Surrey Women
- 19 AugSurrey Women — Hampshire Women228:229/6
- 12 JulSurrey Women — Hampshire Women136/4:132/8
- 29 MayHampshire Women — Surrey Women121/8:121
- 29 AprHampshire Women — Surrey Women272/5:259
- 17 Sep 2025Hampshire Women — Surrey Women290/6:287
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 01:13Hampshire Women are set to win at home against Surrey Women. The model projects Hampshire to edge Surrey by a narrow margin, with expected runs of 190.8 to 187.1. Home advantage and league standing back the forecast; if Surrey build a commanding opening partnership and chase efficiently, the home advantage evaporates.
Hampshire sit second, 56 points from 15 outings, 12 wins, 3 losses. Surrey Women occupy third place with 40 points from 16 matches, their record reading 9 wins and 7 losses. That extra game barely dents the gap.
Hampshire have won 4 of their last 5 matches, losing only to Lancashire by 1 run at home on 26 August. Surrey have also won 4 of their last 5, with their sole defeat coming away to Lancashire by 67 runs on 3 September.
Hampshire lead the recent record 5 wins to 4, with 1 draw across 10 meetings. Before that, Surrey won by 4 runs in the Vitality Blast on 12 July. The pattern shows Hampshire winning by small margins at home, Surrey occasionally responding with bigger victories away. The 1-run difference in August points to a tight finish again.
The model rules out a dead heat. The 3.7-run expected difference aligns with the 1-run margin from August. Surrey chase hard, and the projection fails.