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Oman vs Nepal: match prediction on 13 October 2026
Oman
Nepal
Prediction for
Win: Nepal
57%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
43%
1
57%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 07:05- Оман — 4. place, 31 points after 25 games (14 wins, 11 losses)
- Непал — 7. place, 24 points after 30 games (11 wins, 19 losses)
- Оман, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Непал, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 12 games, Оман — 5, 1 draws, Непал — 6
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Oman
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
Nepal
WWWWW
5 wins
Head to head 19
7Oman
1Draw
11Nepal
- 10 SepNepal — Oman147:60
- 7 JunNepal — Oman95/2:94
- 5 MayNepal — Oman256:175
- 29 AprNepal — Oman155/7:305/8
- 15 Oct 2025Oman — Nepal113/9:151/9
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 07:05Nepal to win
The model edges Nepal by 9.7 runs on expected totals, and recent form backs that lean. Nepal have won four of their last five matches while Oman have managed just one victory in the same period.
65%
Oman sit fourth in the table with 31 points from 25 matches, but their recent form has been poor. They beat Canada 263:222 at home on 9 October before losing three straight away games — to Hong Kong twice and Nepal. Their batting has been inconsistent, scoring 690 runs in five matches while conceding 828.
Nepal are seventh with 24 points from 30 matches, but their momentum is clear. Four wins from five — Canada, Afghanistan, UAE, and notably Oman — with only a narrow loss to Hong Kong. They scored 1044 runs while conceding 903. The 147:60 victory over Oman on 10 September was decisive, and they have won four of the last six meetings between the sides.
Head-to-head tells a mixed story. Nepal won the last three encounters, including the comprehensive 147:60 result and the one-run thriller at 95:94. But Oman won the previous two at home, including a 305:155 demolition in April. The pattern suggests home advantage matters — Oman's victories came at their ground, Nepal's at theirs. This fixture returns to Oman's turf.
The model expects Oman to score 174.2 runs and Nepal 183.9. Those figures account for neither team's current form nor the absence of key players — the data contains no squad information. The runs are averages across many simulated versions of this match, not a guarantee. Nepal's recent batting output of 1044 in five games suggests they can push past 180 if conditions suit.
A draw suits neither side in the table — both are chasing qualification spots. Oman need points to maintain fourth place; Nepal need them to close the gap on the teams above. The main threat to this conclusion is an early collapse — if either side loses wickets quickly, the expected totals shift dramatically. Cricket is volatile, and the model cannot predict a storm or a dropped catch.