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Somerset Women vs Lancashire Women: match prediction on 9 September 2026

Women's One-Day Cup Cooper Associates County Ground Taunton Miss Match page
Somerset Women Lancashire Women

Prediction for

Win: Lancashire Women

55%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

45% 1
55% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 7 Sep, 10:43

Lancashire Women take the points at Taunton. They arrive with sharper form and a head-to-head record that has consistently favoured them. Somerset sit level on points but have lost their last outing by a single run, while Lancashire have won four of their past five matches. Lancashire lead on expected runs; the bookmaker’s price sits at 55%.

Six matches separate these sides in recent years. Lancashire have won four, Somerset one, with one draw. The most recent meeting ended 138-137 to Lancashire in the Vitality Blast. In the One-Day Cup they traded wins — Somerset took 260-259 at Old Trafford in April 2026, but Lancashire responded 169-167 in September 2025. Somerset lost two One-Day Cup encounters in 2025, both by a single run. The margin suggests tight contests where Lancashire have edged ahead when it mattered.

The model expects Somerset to score 180 runs and Lancashire 192.3. That spread of 12.3 runs aligns with the bookmaker’s price of an away win. The draw probability sits at 0%. The model expects both sides to post competitive totals.

The visitors have won four of five, but two of those came by single runs — fragile margins.

Lancashire hold the edge. They have the form, the head-to-head, and the expected runs on their side.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 7 Sep, 10:43
  • Сомерсет (жен.) — 6. place, 31 points after 14 games (7 wins, 7 losses)
  • Ланкашир (жен.) — 4. place, 31 points after 14 games (7 wins, 7 losses)
  • Сомерсет (жен.), last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Ланкашир (жен.), last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, Сомерсет (жен.) — 1, 1 draws, Ланкашир (жен.) — 4

Key factors

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+