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United Arab Emirates vs Netherlands: match prediction on 25 October 2026
United Arab Emirates
Netherlands
Prediction for
Win: Netherlands
55%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
45%
1
55%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 25 Oct, 01:25- Объединённые Арабские Эмираты — 8. place, 18 points after 26 games (8 wins, 18 losses)
- Нидерланды — 3. place, 38 points after 28 games (17 wins, 11 losses)
- Объединённые Арабские Эмираты, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Нидерланды, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Объединённые Арабские Эмираты — 1, Нидерланды — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
United Arab Emirates
WWLLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Netherlands
LWWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 5
1United Arab Emirates
0Draw
4Netherlands
- 12 May 2025Netherlands — United Arab Emirates205/5:204/9
- 6 May 2025Netherlands — United Arab Emirates272/7:159
- 9 Nov 2024Netherlands — United Arab Emirates241/8:174
- 3 Nov 2024Netherlands — United Arab Emirates214:240/8
- 16 Oct 2022Netherlands — United Arab Emirates112/7:111/8
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 25 Oct, 01:25Netherlands win by one run to extend dominance over United Arab Emirates
The Netherlands defeated the United Arab Emirates by one run in their ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 fixture on 25 October 2026, a result that reinforced their position in the top three while leaving the hosts in eighth place. The pre-match prediction held, with the outcome hinging on a narrow margin that mirrored their most recent encounter in May 2025. The visitors’ 55 per cent probability held firm as they navigated a competitive contest against a UAE side that had shown resilience in their recent away form.
Scoring patterns
The statistical model anticipated a high-scoring affair, projecting 192.2 runs for the United Arab Emirates and 196.7 for the Netherlands. These figures align with the teams' recent trajectories, particularly the Netherlands’ ability to post substantial totals at home, as evidenced by their 251-run haul against Namibia in July. The United Arab Emirates, averaging 210 runs in their last five matches with 1,050 runs scored, provided a target that required precise execution.
Head-to-head record
The result extended the Netherlands’ dominance in the head-to-head record, as they won three of the four matches played since November 2022. Their 205-204 victory in May 2025 was the closest of these encounters, and the current win follows a similar pattern of tight finishes. The United Arab Emirates secured their sole victory in this period with a 240-run total against the Netherlands in November 2024, but their recent form suggests they struggled to maintain momentum. The Netherlands’ record of 17 wins from 28 matches contrasts with the UAE’s eight wins from 26, a consistency gap the one-run margin confirms.
Standings
The victory keeps the Netherlands in third place with 38 points from 28 matches, a position that positions them strongly for promotion considerations. The United Arab Emirates remain eighth with 18 points from 26 matches, their recent form showing two wins and three losses in their last five outings. Although the UAE had won two of their previous three away matches against Malaysia, their losses to Namibia and the United States of America in October indicated vulnerability against mid-tier opposition. The Netherlands’ three wins in their last five games, including a dominant performance against Nepal, underscore their ability to secure results against comparable teams. The table holds.