ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2
Hit
Oman
Nepal
Prediction for Oman — Nepal
57%probability
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Cricket predictions: upcoming matches
A suggested outcome with a probability and the reasoning behind it. The calculation rests on attacking and defensive strength adjusted for opponents, recent form, head-to-head history and, where available, the bookmakers' line. A forecast is an estimate, not a promise.
Analytical forecasts on sports events based on statistical models
Prediction accuracy
59%
9212 / 15559
9212hit
6347missed
1171Pending
15559checked predictions
Checked forecasts
Oman
Nepal
CSA T20 Challenge
Miss
South Africa Emerging Players
Boland
Prediction for South Africa Emerging Players — Boland
72%probability
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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2
Hit
United States of America
United Arab Emirates
Prediction for United States of America — United Arab Emirates
56%probability
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CSA T20 Challenge
Miss
Titans
Easterns
Prediction for Titans — Easterns
72%probability
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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2
Hit
Canada
Nepal
Prediction for Canada — Nepal
61%probability
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CSA T20 Challenge
Miss
North West
South Western Districts
Prediction for North West — South Western Districts
72%probability
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CSA T20 Challenge
Hit
Mpumalanga
Western Province
Prediction for Mpumalanga — Western Province
72%probability
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National Cricket League
Hit
Dhaka Metropolis
Rangpur Division
Prediction for Dhaka Metropolis — Rangpur Division
54%probability
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National Cricket League
Hit
Khulna Division
Rajshahi Division
Prediction for Khulna Division — Rajshahi Division
64%probability
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National Cricket League
Miss
Chittagong Division
Barisal Division
Prediction for Chittagong Division — Barisal Division
58%probability
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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2
Miss
Namibia
United Arab Emirates
Prediction for Namibia — United Arab Emirates
54%probability
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CSA T20 Challenge
Hit
Border
Dolphins
Prediction for Border — Dolphins
72%probability
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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2
Hit
Oman
Canada
Prediction for Oman — Canada
55%probability
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CSA T20 Challenge
Miss
Boland
Easterns
Prediction for Boland — Easterns
70%probability
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CSA T20 Challenge
Hit
Warriors
Northern Cape
Prediction for Warriors — Northern Cape
70%probability
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CSA T20 Challenge
Hit
Knights
KwaZulu-Natal Inland
Prediction for Knights — KwaZulu-Natal Inland
66%probability
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CSA T20 Challenge
Hit
Titans
South Africa Emerging Players
Prediction for Titans — South Africa Emerging Players
69%probability
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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2
Hit
United States of America
Namibia
Prediction for United States of America — Namibia
60%probability
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CSA T20 Challenge
Hit
South Western Districts
Lions
Prediction for South Western Districts — Lions
70%probability
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CSA T20 Challenge
Hit
Western Province
Easterns
Prediction for Western Province — Easterns
69%probability
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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2
Hit
United States of America
United Arab Emirates
Prediction for United States of America — United Arab Emirates
57%probability
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CSA T20 Challenge
Hit
Limpopo
South Western Districts
Prediction for Limpopo — South Western Districts
60%probability
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CSA T20 Challenge
Pending
Warriors
Lions
Prediction for Warriors — Lions
56%probability
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CSA T20 Challenge
Hit
Limpopo
Dolphins
Prediction for Limpopo — Dolphins
72%probability
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
How a forecast is made
First the attacking and defensive strength of each side is worked out from matches played, adjusted for the opposition faced: goals against a bottom club and against a leader are not worth the same. Expected goals follow from those figures, and the outcome probabilities from them.
What data goes in
Match results from the past two years, weighted so that a recent game counts for more than one from last season. League position, head-to-head history and, in football, the average bookmakers' line. Injuries and suspensions are gathered separately and appear in the write-up.
What the probability means
Sixty per cent means that, were the match played many times over, the outcome would come up in roughly six cases out of ten. In four it would not — and that is not an error in the calculation but the nature of an estimate.
Limits of a forecast
The calculation knows nothing that is not in the data: a coach dismissed on the eve, the weather, a side rested before a European tie. For clubs with two or three matches behind them there is not enough to go on at all, and no forecast is made.