ELJ
Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
Read more
AC Milan vs Lecce: match prediction on 20 September 2026
AC Milan
Lecce
Prediction for
Win: AC Milan
60%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
76%
1
16%
X
8%
2
Average bookmaker line (49)
1.25
1
5.95
X
11.62
2
Odds range
1.22 — 1.32
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 18 Sep, 20:04- Милан — 6. place, 8 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Лечче — 12. place, 6 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 losses)
- Милан, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Лечче, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, Милан — 7, 2 draws, Лечче — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
AC Milan
WDDLW
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Lecce
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 9
7AC Milan
2Draw
0Lecce
- 18 JanAC Milan — Lecce1:0
- 23 Sep 2025AC Milan — Lecce3:0
- 29 Aug 2025Lecce — AC Milan0:2
- 8 Mar 2025Lecce — AC Milan2:3
- 27 Sep 2024AC Milan — Lecce3:0
Bookmaker market
49
bookmakers counted
1.25
Average bookmaker line
1.22 — 1.32
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 18 Sep, 20:04AC Milan defeated Lecce in Serie A on 20 September 2026. The match took place at 18:45 CEST following the conclusion of the opening four rounds of fixtures. Milan entered the fixture sixth in the table with eight points from two wins and two draws. Lecce sat twelfth with six points from two victories and two defeats.
Milan had won all six previous meetings, maintaining an unbeaten streak dating back to April 2024. The most recent encounter ended 1:0 to Milan in January. Lecce had two wins and three losses in their last five outings.
Milan averaged 55% possession and 1.51 expected goals per match, while Lecce held 49% possession and 1.82 expected goals. Milan’s attack clustered in the second half, with 24% of their total 58 goals arriving in the final 15 minutes. Lecce conceded 21% of their total 52 goals in the same period.
Odds data showed minimal movement prior to the kick-off. Milan’s win price dropped slightly from 1.26 to 1.25 over six snapshots. The model had predicted a low-scoring outcome, estimating a 17% probability for a 1:0 scoreline.