Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Airbus UK vs Holywell: match prediction on 31 August 2026
Airbus UK
Holywell
Prediction for
Win: Airbus UK
51%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
61%
1
20%
X
19%
2
Average bookmaker line (48)
1.49
1
4.58
X
4.78
2
Odds range
1.40 — 1.58
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 14:44- Эйрбас УК — 11. place, 6 points after 5 games (2 wins, 3 losses)
- Холиуэлл — 16. place, 0 points after 5 games (0 wins, 5 losses)
- Эйрбас УК, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Холиуэлл, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Эйрбас УК — 3, 2 draws, Холиуэлл — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Airbus UK
LLWWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Holywell
LLLDL
1 draw · 4 losses
Head to head 8
4Airbus UK
2Draw
2Holywell
- 3 AprHolywell — Airbus UK0:3
- 3 Oct 2025Airbus UK — Holywell0:0
- 25 Jan 2025Holywell — Airbus UK2:1
- 25 Oct 2024Airbus UK — Holywell8:3
- 16 Dec 2023Holywell — Airbus UK1:2
Bookmaker market
48
bookmakers counted
1.49
Average bookmaker line
1.40 — 1.58
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 14:44Holywell face a tough test against Airbus UK, with the visitors holding a strong advantage in this upcoming fixture.
Holywell have not taken a point in five league matches, losing every game and conceding 20 goals. Their defensive record is the worst in the division, averaging 4.0 goals against per match. Airbus UK sit 11th with 6 points from 5 games — not glamorous, but they have found a way to win twice and lose three times.
History favours the hosts
In six meetings over recent years Airbus UK have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1. The most recent encounter on 03.04.2026 saw them win 3:0 away at Holywell. Before that they drew 0:0 at home in October 2025. The pattern suggests Holywell struggle to contain this opposition, and the visitors' inability to score consistently — just 7 goals in 5 matches — makes a repeat of that result plausible.
A key absence for the visitors
D. Sullivan picked up a red card on 14.08.2026 and will miss this match. Holywell already average 3.5 yellow cards per game, so losing a central figure in that department weakens their discipline further. Their defensive vulnerabilities are already exposed; without Sullivan they may find themselves even more vulnerable.
A statistical model projects 2.2 goals for Airbus UK and 1.6 for Holywell, suggesting a 21% chance of a draw and a 70% likelihood that both teams will score. The most likely scoreline is 2:1 at 9%, followed by 1:1 at 8% and 2:2 at 7%. There is a 72% probability of three or more goals in the match. Airbus UK score heavily in the 61-75 minute window — 30% of their 43 goals — and also in the final 15 minutes at 23%. Holywell have conceded 29% of their goals in the 76-90 period.
A draw suits Holywell's approach to running the clock down, and that is the main threat to this prediction. If they manage to hold out for a point despite their winless run, the outcome changes. The visitors have not scored more than 3 goals in any of their last 5 matches, which limits their capacity to overturn a deficit, but a late equaliser remains possible given their defensive frailty.