Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Akademija Pandev
Prediction for
Win: Akademija Pandev
51%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 11:09Akademija Pandev to edge Kamjani 1:0, with the conclusion collapsing if the visitors score first and hold the result.
Both sides sit level on points after two rounds. Akademija Pandev occupy second place with four points from one win and one draw; Kamjani trail in fourth with the identical tally.
Recent form
Akademija Pandev have collected seven points from five matches, winning twice, drawing once and losing twice, while netting eight goals and conceding two. Kamjani are sharper over the same span, with ten points from three victories, one draw and one defeat, scoring nine and letting in six.
Timing of goals
Akademija Pandev have been most dangerous late in games. 43% of their fourteen goals have arrived between the 76th and 90th minute, with another 36% falling between the 16th and 30th minute. They are vulnerable in the first half of the second period, conceding 32% of their nineteen goals between the 46th and 60th minute. Kamjani's patterns are not available for comparison.
Model expectations
The model predicts Akademija Pandev will score 1.6 goals and Kamjani 1.1. The draw probability sits at 25%, with both teams to score at 52% and three or more goals at 50%. The most likely scoreline is 1:1 at 12%, followed by 1:0 at 11% and 2:1 at 10%.
The prediction fails if Kamjani take the lead early and manage the game effectively. They have shown capacity to win away from home, as demonstrated by their draw at Pelister, and could exploit Akademija Pandev's vulnerability in the 46th to 60th minute window.