Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Al Arabi vs Al Fujairah SC: match prediction on 29 August 2026
Al Arabi
Al Fujairah SC
Prediction for
Win: Al Arabi
47%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
47%
1
23%
X
31%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:52- Аль-Араби — 3. place, 3 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Аль-Фуджайра — 1. place, 3 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Аль-Араби, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Аль-Фуджайра, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, Аль-Араби — 4, 2 draws, Аль-Фуджайра — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Al Arabi
LWWWD
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Al Fujairah SC
LWWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 12
7Al Arabi
2Draw
3Al Fujairah SC
- 11 AprAl Fujairah SC — Al Arabi0:1
- 23 Nov 2025Al Arabi — Al Fujairah SC2:2
- 13 Sep 2025Al Arabi — Al Fujairah SC4:2
- 17 May 2025Al Arabi — Al Fujairah SC2:1
- 18 Jan 2025Al Fujairah SC — Al Arabi1:0
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:52Al Arabi edge at home
I'm backing Al Arabi to take the points here. The model puts them at 1.8 expected goals against 1.5 for Al Fujairah, and that half-goal gap matters when both sides have only one match under their belts. Al Arabi won 1:0 away from home in April, and they've won four of nine meetings overall. Fujairah sit top on three points but their away record is mixed — they drew 1:1 in their last trip and lost 1:3 away from home in May.
Both teams are fresh, having played just once this season. Al Arabi beat Gulf United 2:1 at home in May and Emirates Club 1:0 at home in May as well. Fujairah's only league win this term came 6:0 at home against Al Jazira Al Hamra on 22 August. That result tells you about their ceiling but also about the opposition quality. Their away form suggests they won't dominate here.
Al Arabi's attacking pattern cuts both ways. They score heavily in the final 15 minutes — 29% of their goals — and also in the 61-75 period at 21%. Fujairah are vulnerable in the first half: 40% of goals they concede come between 31 and 45 minutes. If Al Arabi can stay compact early and push when Fujairah fade, that window opens up. Fujairah score 35% of their goals in the last 15 themselves, so the game could swing either way late on.
The most likely scorelines point to a tight affair. The model puts 1:1 at 10%, 2:1 at 9%, and 1:2 at 7%. Both teams to score sits at 65%, and 23% for a draw. Three or more goals is 64%. Al Arabi's 1.8 expectation means they're likely to score one or two, and Fujairah's 1.5 suggests the same. Al Arabi have A. Pavlopoulos with one booking, Fujairah have two players each with one red card in six months. Discipline could decide a close game.
This prediction holds if both teams maintain their current attacking output, but breaks if Fujairah find a way to control possession — they average 54% compared to Al Arabi's 48% — or if Al Arabi's defensive vulnerability in the 61-75 period (29% of goals conceded) is exploited. The model's edge for Al Arabi is narrow, and Fujairah's ability to score late means this isn't a lock.