Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Al Jahra vs Al Arabi: match prediction on 30 August 2026
Al Jahra
Al Arabi
Prediction for
Win: Al Arabi
62%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
16%
1
22%
X
62%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 11:15- Аль-Джахра — 8. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
- Аль-Араби — 7. place, 1 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Аль-Джахра, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Аль-Араби, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, Аль-Джахра — 1, 1 draws, Аль-Араби — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Al Jahra
WDLWL
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Al Arabi
LLDLD
2 draws · 3 losses
Head to head 9
1Al Jahra
2Draw
6Al Arabi
- 25 MayAl Jahra — Al Arabi1:1
- 4 Nov 2025Al Arabi — Al Jahra4:0
- 26 May 2025Al Arabi — Al Jahra2:1
- 12 Feb 2024Al Arabi — Al Jahra6:0
- 28 Oct 2023Al Jahra — Al Arabi2:3
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 11:15Al Arabi to win. The visitors have dominated this fixture for years — five victories in seven meetings — and the model puts their expected goals at 1.8 compared with Al Jahra's 0.8. That gap is enough to suggest a narrow away victory.
Both sides are still finding their feet after one league match. Al Arabi sit seventh with a single point from their opening game, while Al Jahra are eighth on zero points after a defeat. The table tells us little about the final result, but it does show both teams are operating in the lower half of the standings at this early stage.
Their recent form is identical on paper. Each side has recorded one win, one draw and three defeats across five matches, accumulating four points apiece. Al Jahra's results include a 2:3 loss away to Al Shabab on 26 August and a 0:1 home defeat to Al Tadhamon. Al Arabi's campaign features a 3:3 draw at Al Kuwait on 25 August and a 1:4 AFC Cup exit to East Bengal II. Neither run has produced consistency.
The head-to-head tells a different story. Al Arabi have won five of the seven meetings, including a 6:0 thrashing at Al Jahra in February 2024 and a 4:0 victory in November 2025. The only competitive win for Al Jahra came on 15 February 2023, and the most recent encounter ended 1:1 in May 2026. The visitors have not lost to Al Jahra in the Premier League since that draw.
The model expects a low-scoring affair. A 0:1 result carries 14% probability, followed by 0:2 at 12% and 1:1 at 11%. Both teams score in 45% of simulated versions, while 3+ goals appear in 48%. The timing patterns add another layer. Al Jahra have scored 67% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minute, but concede 56% after the 76th. Al Arabi mirror that vulnerability — 63% of their goals come in the final 14 minutes, and 60% of goals conceded arrive in the same period. Both sides open up late, which could create chances for either team to find a winner.
A draw suits Al Arabi given how they tend to run the clock down, and that is the main threat to this prediction. If Al Jahra manage to score first and protect the result, the visitors' late-game weaknesses could cost them.
65%