Al-Raed vs Hajer: match prediction on 28 August 2026

Al-Raed win at 1.56 is my call. The hosts opened the season with a 1:0 victory away to Al Orubah, while Hajer suffered a heavy 0:3 defeat at Jeddah Club. That contrast in opening-day performances highlights the disparity — one side started with momentum, the other with a lesson. Hajer win odds dropped from 6.03 to 5.16, Al-Raed win rose from 1.44 to 1.56, and the draw fell from 4.04 to 3.72. The movement suggests money is finding the hosts, but the rise in their price means the market is not convinced.

Al-Raed's recent form shows resilience. In their last five matches they recorded two wins, one draw and two losses — seven points from a possible fifteen. Their opening-day win came against Al Orubah on 22 August, a result that matters more than the older fixtures. They beat Abha 5:1 at home in May and drew 2:2 away to Al Zulfi. The goals tell a story: nine scored, seven conceded across those five games. Hajer's recent record looks worse on paper — two wins, three losses, six points — but three of those results came in Division 2 back in April 2026.

Al-Raed have two players — Mohammed Salem Al Dossary and Abdullah Ahmad Abdul Rahman Al Yousif — each carrying three yellow cards, one booking away from suspension. O. Gonzalez already has a red card on his record. Hajer's W. Zaidi received a red card on 23 August against Jeddah Club, but the suspension status for this match is not found. If either side loses a key player through accumulation, the balance shifts. Al-Raed's defensive vulnerability shows in their conceding pattern: 33% of goals allowed come in the final 15 minutes, and 25% between 61 and 75 minutes. They're not a side that closes games out easily.

The league table after one match puts Al-Raed fifth with three points and Hajer eighteenth with none. Hajer's single recorded match this season — the 0:3 loss — came at Jeddah Club, and there is no record of additional fixtures since then. Al-Raed will want to extend their winning start; Hajer need to recover from a defeat that exposed defensive frailties.

The hosts concede heavily in the final quarter of matches — 58% of their goals allowed come after the 61st minute. If Hajer can stay compact and hit on the counter, that window offers opportunity. But the market has moved away from the visitors, and the drop in Hajer win odds from 6.03 to 5.16 reflects cautious money rather than conviction. The draw at 3.72 is where the market sits, but the hosts' opening-day win and superior league position give them the edge.