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Ansan Greeners vs Daegu FC: match prediction on 28 August 2026

K League 2 Ansan Wa~ Stadium Ansan Hit Match page
Ansan Greeners Daegu FC

Prediction for

Win: Daegu FC

65%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

15% 1
20% X
65% 2

Average bookmaker line (47)

6.05 1
4.59 X
1.39 2

Odds range

1.33 — 1.44

for outcome 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 27 Aug, 11:32

Daegu FC to win at 1.39. The gap between fourth and fifteenth in K League 2 is not theoretical — it shows up in the 20-point difference and in the way both sides play. Daegu control possession at 55%, take 5.4 shots on target per game, and have won 11 of 22 matches. Ansan Greeners sit at 42% possession, manage 3.7 shots on target, and have lost 13 times. The line opened at 1.39 and has not moved, which means the market sees no new factor to shift its view.

Daegu have taken 7 points from 5 matches — two wins, one draw, two losses — including a clean sheet against Asan Mugunghwa and a narrow win at Gyeongnam. Ansan have taken 5 points from 5 matches with the same record, but their results show vulnerability: a 1:3 defeat away at Seoul E-Land and a 1:2 loss at home to Seongnam. Both sides score and concede at similar rates — 6 goals for, 8 against each — but Daegu's wins have come against teams they should beat.

Daegu sit 4th with 39 points after 22 matches, while Ansan are 15th with 19 points. Ansan have won only 5 matches all season, lost 13, and drawn 4. Daegu have won 11, drawn 6, lost 5. The quality difference is visible in the numbers: Daegu average 5.4 shots on target compared to Ansan's 3.7, and take 6.4 corners per game versus 2.5.

The head-to-head meeting on 24 May ended 3:0 to Daegu, and the model expects a similar pattern. It projects 1.1 goals for Ansan and 2.1 for Daegu, with the most likely scoreline 1:2 at 10%. The model also puts the probability of both teams scoring at 58% and three or more goals at 62%. Daegu score heavily in the final quarter — 33% of their goals come between 76 and 90 minutes — while Ansan concede 32% of their goals in the same period. That timing could decide the match.

This conclusion rests on Daegu maintaining their level and Ansan failing to find a way to break down a side that dominates possession and shots. If Ansan score early and switch to a defensive block, or if Daegu fall behind and cannot recover, the outcome changes.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 27 Aug, 11:32
  • Средняя линия 47 букмекеров: победа Тэгу 1.39, ничья 4.59, победа Ансан Гринерс 6.05
  • Конторы расходятся в оценке: от 1.33 до 1.44 (8%)
  • Ансан Гринерс идёт 15-м: 19 очков после 22 матчей (5 побед, 4 ничьих, 13 поражений)
  • Тэгу идёт 4-м: 39 очков после 22 матчей (11 побед, 6 ничьих, 5 поражений)
  • Последние 5 матчей Ансан Гринерс: 1 побед, 2 ничьих, 2 поражений
  • Последние 5 матчей Тэгу: 2 побед, 1 ничьих, 2 поражений
  • Очные встречи за последние годы: сыграно 1, побед Ансан Гринерс — 0, ничьих 0, побед Тэгу — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Ansan Greeners DLLLW 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Daegu FC WWDWD 3 wins · 2 draws

Head to head 1

0Ansan Greeners 0Draw 1Daegu FC
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

47 bookmakers counted
1.39 Average bookmaker line
1.33 — 1.44 Odds range

More predictions

All match predictions

Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+