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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Argentinos Juniors
Gimnasia La Plata
Prediction for
Win: Argentinos Juniors
56%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 9
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 21:13A return to form for Argentinos Juniors
Argentinos Juniors beat Gimnasia La Plata 2-1, ending a two-draw slump.
Argentinos Juniors controlled 63% of possession compared to Gimnasia La Plata’s 44%. The hosts created 2.3 big chances per match on average leading up to this fixture, while the visitors managed 1.9. Shots on target were also higher for Argentinos, averaging 5.4 per game against 4.5 for their opponents.
The result turned on the final quarter. Argentinos Juniors scored 39% of their total goals in the final 15 minutes of matches this season, nearly double Gimnasia’s 22%. Conversely, Gimnasia conceded 28% of their goals in this period, whereas Argentinos were vulnerable in the opening 15 minutes, where they conceded 17% of their total. Gimnasia’s late-game frailty cost them.
Before the match, Argentinos Juniors sat third with 29 points from 16 games, while Gimnasia La Plata were sixth on 26 points. Over their last eight, Argentinos remained in first place with 17 points, having lost only one match in that span. The result also halted Gimnasia’s recent success in the fixture, as they had won four of the last six meetings between the two clubs.