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Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata: match prediction on 13 September 2026

Liga Profesional Argentina Estadio Diego Armando Maradona Buenos Aires Pending Match page
Argentinos Juniors Gimnasia La Plata

Prediction for

Win: Argentinos Juniors

56%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

56% 1
26% X
18% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 21:13

A return to form for Argentinos Juniors

Argentinos Juniors beat Gimnasia La Plata 2-1, ending a two-draw slump.

Argentinos Juniors controlled 63% of possession compared to Gimnasia La Plata’s 44%. The hosts created 2.3 big chances per match on average leading up to this fixture, while the visitors managed 1.9. Shots on target were also higher for Argentinos, averaging 5.4 per game against 4.5 for their opponents.

The result turned on the final quarter. Argentinos Juniors scored 39% of their total goals in the final 15 minutes of matches this season, nearly double Gimnasia’s 22%. Conversely, Gimnasia conceded 28% of their goals in this period, whereas Argentinos were vulnerable in the opening 15 minutes, where they conceded 17% of their total. Gimnasia’s late-game frailty cost them.

Before the match, Argentinos Juniors sat third with 29 points from 16 games, while Gimnasia La Plata were sixth on 26 points. Over their last eight, Argentinos remained in first place with 17 points, having lost only one match in that span. The result also halted Gimnasia’s recent success in the fixture, as they had won four of the last six meetings between the two clubs.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 21:13
  • Аргентинос Хуниорс — 3. place, 29 points after 16 games (8 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses)
  • Химнасия Ла-Плата — 6. place, 26 points after 16 games (8 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses)
  • Аргентинос Хуниорс, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
  • Химнасия Ла-Плата, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, Аргентинос Хуниорс — 1, 1 draws, Химнасия Ла-Плата — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Argentinos Juniors WLDWD 2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Gimnasia La Plata LDLWW 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Head to head 9

3Argentinos Juniors 2Draw 4Gimnasia La Plata
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+