Arna-Bjørnar Women vs Åsane Women: match prediction on 30 August 2026

Arna-Bjørnar Women to win, 55% confidence. The home side has scored 18 goals in their last five matches while Åsane have conceded just one, and the model gives Arna-Bjørnar a 1.5 expected goal tally against 1.2 for the visitors.

Home fire and away wall

Arna-Bjørnar's attack has been ruthless of late. They have scored six goals against Klepp at home, six away at Bryne, three against Start at home and three away at Odd. They have lost only once in five — a 0:1 defeat to Start away in June. The scoring pattern shows 25% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes and another 25% between 61 and 75 minutes. Åsane have done the opposite: five wins, five clean sheets, seven goals scored and one conceded. They beat Viking FK 1:0 away, TIL 2020 2:0 away, and Fyllingsdalen 2:1 away. Their goals come evenly across the first half — 17% in each 15-minute segment — with 33% between 31 and 45 minutes.

Åsane have never lost to Arna-Bjørnar at home

The head-to-head record cuts one way. In eight meetings since 2023, Arna-Bjørnar have won zero, drawn four, and lost four. The last two matches were in 1. divisjon: Åsane won 2:1 in May 2026 and drew 2:2 in August 2025. The visitors have taken points in every home fixture since November 2023.

Points and position

Åsane sit third with 18 points from eight matches — five wins, three draws, zero losses. Arna-Bjørnar are fifth with 14 points, four wins, two draws, two losses. The gap is four points.

The model sees a tight affair

Expected goals put Arna-Bjørnar at 1.5 and Åsane at 1.2. The draw probability sits at 26%, both teams to score at 55%, and three or more goals at 51%. The three most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 12%, 1:0 at 10%, and 2:1 at 9%.

A draw or a second-half collapse breaks the prediction

A slow start for the home side, combined with Åsane's tendency to score a third of their goals in the final quarter of the first half, would shift momentum away from Arna-Bjørnar before they can settle.