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Atlante Women vs Juárez Women: match prediction on 8 September 2026

Liga MX Femenil Centro de Alto Rendimiento (CAR), Cancha 1, San Miguel Ajusco Mexico City Pending Match page
Atlante Women Juárez Women

Prediction for

Win: Juárez Women

45%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

19% 1
23% X
58% 2

Average bookmaker line (11)

4.84 1
4.01 X
1.56 2

Odds range

1.52 — 1.58

for outcome 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 5 Sep, 23:02

Juárez Women to win at 1.56. The market has priced this 58% after removing the margin, and the numbers behind it tell a straightforward story. Atlante sit 15th with three points from five games, Juárez eighth with nine. The visitors have won three of their last five, the hosts four losses. The model expects 1.3 goals for Juárez and one for Atlante.

The table tells you everything you need to know about where these sides stand. Atlante's single victory came against Necaxa at home on 3 August, a 1:0 result that has done little to build momentum. Since then they have lost four straight, conceding nine goals while scoring four. The pattern is consistent: they open poorly, concede early, and only find their feet late.

Juárez have scored 28% of their goals in the 31-45 minute window and 24% after the 75th minute. Atlante's scoring is concentrated in the final quarter, with 75% coming after the 75th minute. That mismatch matters. Juárez will look to take control before Atlante can settle into their preferred rhythm. The hosts concede 50% of their goals after the 75th minute, which gives Juárez a clear avenue to exploit if they maintain pressure.

The model's most likely scoreline is 0:1 at 13%, followed by 1:1 also at 13%. A 0:0 is third at 10%. The draw probability sits at 28%, and both teams to score is 46%. Juárez's defensive record is tighter than Atlante's attack can handle — they have conceded five goals in five matches while scoring five themselves. Atlante have conceded nine and scored four. The gap is not dramatic, but it is enough to tip the balance.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 5 Sep, 23:02
  • Атланте (жен.) — 15. place, 3 points after 5 games (1 wins, 4 losses)
  • Хуарес Женщины — 8. place, 9 points after 5 games (3 wins, 2 losses)
  • Атланте (жен.), last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Хуарес Женщины, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Atlante Women LLLLW 1 win · 4 losses
Juárez Women WWWWW 5 wins

Bookmaker market

11 bookmakers counted
1.56 Average bookmaker line
1.52 — 1.58 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+