Champions League
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Atlante Women
Prediction for
Win: Juárez Women
45%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Average bookmaker line (11)
Odds range
1.52 — 1.58
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 5 Sep, 23:02Juárez Women to win at 1.56. The market has priced this 58% after removing the margin, and the numbers behind it tell a straightforward story. Atlante sit 15th with three points from five games, Juárez eighth with nine. The visitors have won three of their last five, the hosts four losses. The model expects 1.3 goals for Juárez and one for Atlante.
The table tells you everything you need to know about where these sides stand. Atlante's single victory came against Necaxa at home on 3 August, a 1:0 result that has done little to build momentum. Since then they have lost four straight, conceding nine goals while scoring four. The pattern is consistent: they open poorly, concede early, and only find their feet late.
Juárez have scored 28% of their goals in the 31-45 minute window and 24% after the 75th minute. Atlante's scoring is concentrated in the final quarter, with 75% coming after the 75th minute. That mismatch matters. Juárez will look to take control before Atlante can settle into their preferred rhythm. The hosts concede 50% of their goals after the 75th minute, which gives Juárez a clear avenue to exploit if they maintain pressure.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0:1 at 13%, followed by 1:1 also at 13%. A 0:0 is third at 10%. The draw probability sits at 28%, and both teams to score is 46%. Juárez's defensive record is tighter than Atlante's attack can handle — they have conceded five goals in five matches while scoring five themselves. Atlante have conceded nine and scored four. The gap is not dramatic, but it is enough to tip the balance.