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Atlante Women vs Pumas UNAM Women: match prediction on 28 September 2026

Liga MX Femenil Centro de Alto Rendimiento (CAR), Cancha 1, San Miguel Ajusco Mexico City Miss Match page
Atlante Women Pumas UNAM Women

Prediction for

Slight edge: Pumas UNAM Women

41%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

13% 1
19% X
68% 2

Average bookmaker line (44)

6.81 1
4.84 X
1.33 2

Odds range

1.26 — 1.38

for outcome 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 27 Sep, 22:55

Pumas UNAM Women to win at 1.33

Pumas UNAM Women Women are expected to take all three points against Atlante on Sunday. The market has priced them as clear favourites at 1.33, and the movement overnight supports that reading — odds dropped from 1.38 to 1.33 across 44 bookmakers. The gap between the sides in the table tells the story: Pumas sit eighth with 12 points while Atlante languish 14th on just six.

Form reinforces the hierarchy. Atlante have won only one of their last five matches, picking up three points from a 2-1 home victory over Querétaro while losing four others. Their attack has been toothless — three goals in five games against six conceded. Pumas UNAM Women, by contrast, have won three of their last five, including a 5-0 demolition of Querétaro at home. They have scored 12 goals in that span while conceding five.

Atlante's 2-0-6 record shows a side struggling to find consistency, while Pumas' 4-0-4 pattern suggests they can compete with anyone when firing.

An observation suggests a tight contest with Pumas edging it. Atlante are projected to score 1.3 goals, Pumas 1.5. The 14% probability for a 1-1 draw sits alongside 9% for a 1-2 victory. Those figures suggest a low-scoring affair where quality makes the difference. Atlante's attacking threat is concentrated in the final 15 minutes — 50% of their goals come after the 76th minute — but that timing rarely helps when chasing a game.

A draw suits Atlante's approach. They have ground out results when under pressure, and the 29% draw probability reflects that possibility. If Pumas fail to break them down early, the visitors' tendency to run the clock down could see them settle for a point. A late equaliser from Atlante, who have conceded 55% of their goals in the final 15 minutes but also know how to survive, presents a potential risk.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 27 Sep, 22:55
  • Атланте (жен) — 14. place, 6 points after 8 games (2 wins, 6 losses)
  • Пумас УНАМ — 8. place, 12 points after 8 games (4 wins, 4 losses)
  • Атланте (жен), last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Пумас УНАМ, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Atlante Women LLLWD 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Pumas UNAM Women WLLWD 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Bookmaker market

44 bookmakers counted
1.33 Average bookmaker line
1.26 — 1.38 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+