Champions League
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Atlas Women
Prediction for
Win: Atlético San Luis Women
42%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 12
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 11:09Atlas Women to avoid defeat
65%
Atlas Women have not lost to Atlético San Luis in three of the last six meetings. The head-to-head record shows Atlas Women claiming three victories against two defeats for their hosts. The most recent encounter ended 2:2 in January, and before that the sides were level 0:0 in August.
Atlético San Luis sit tenth in the table with six points from four matches, while Atlas occupy twelfth place on five points. Atlético San Luis have won twice and lost twice. Atlas have one victory, two draws and one defeat. Atlético San Luis have scored 11 goals and conceded 11 across their last five outings, while Atlas have netted six and let in seven in the same period.
The model expects Atlético San Luis to score 1.7 goals and Atlas to reach 1.5. A draw carries 23% probability, both teams to score sits at 64%, and three or more goals total at 62%. The most likely scoreline is 1:1 at 10%, followed by 2:1 for Atlético San Luis at 9% and 1:2 for Atlas at 8%.
Atlético San Luis have been prolific early on, with 40% of their goals arriving in the opening 15 minutes, but they go five full minutes without scoring between the 61st and 75th minute. Atlas find their rhythm between the 16th and 30th minutes and again from 31st to 45th, each period accounting for 32% of their goals. They also concede heavily in the second half, with 28% of their goals against coming between 46th and 60th minute and 34% in the final quarter.
A draw suits Atlas and their approach to managing games. The visitors have shown they can grind out results, as demonstrated by their two draws in the last five matches.
Atlas have the defensive resilience to stay in matches and the attacking timing to punish hosts who lose focus after the opening exchanges.